Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 28

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates will send Jesus Luzardo and Mitch Keller to the hill, respectively, on Opening Day at LoanDepot park. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET. The Pirates are +110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Marlins (-129). Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: Sportsnet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-129	+110	7.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+169	-206

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 58%, Pirates 42%

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Marlins were the moneyline favorite 75 total times last season. They finished 43-32 in those games.
Miami had a record of 34-18 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter last year (65.4%).
Based on this game's moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 56.3%.
The Pirates were underdogs in 130 games last season and won 56 (43.1%) of those contests.

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez hit .354 last season with 10 home runs and 69 RBI.
Jake Burger batted .250 last season with a team-high 34 home runs and 80 RBI.
Josh Bell finished with a .247 average, 22 home runs and 74 RBI last season.
Bryan De La Cruz collected 149 hits, posted an OBP of .304 and a .411 SLG.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tim Anderson	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+245)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
Jake Burger	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds drove in 84 runs last season while batting .263.
Ke'Bryan Hayes hit .271 a season ago with 134 hits.
Jack Suwinski launched 26 home runs while slugging .454 last season.
Andrew McCutchen had 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks while batting .256.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+230)
Oneil Cruz	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)
Henry Davis	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Rowdy Tellez	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+320)