Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

The Cleveland Guardians and Nolan Jones hit the field against Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners on Saturday, in the second game of a three-game series at Progressive Field. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -158 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +133 moneyline odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this contest (with +100 odds on the over and -121 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians.

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 50%, Guardians 50%

Mariners vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 93 times this season and won 51, or 54.8%, of those games.
• Seattle has entered 31 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 20-11 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 61.2%.
• The Guardians have come away with 32 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a mark of 10-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +133 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
• The Mariners have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has gone yard 50 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 107 runs, both totals that lead the Mariners.
• Among all MLB hitters, Raleigh ranks 117th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Rodriguez is hitting .263 with 24 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 34 walks.
• Rodriguez ranks 31st in home runs and 37th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Rodriguez has five games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with two walks and three RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez is hitting .237 with 23 doubles, 42 home runs and 37 walks.
• Suarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two home runs, four walks and seven RBIs.
• Josh Naylor's .286 batting average paces his team.
• Naylor has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 26 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .285.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez ranks 24th in home runs and 54th in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has 22 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .271.
• Kwan ranks 179th in home runs and 181st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Kyle Manzardo is batting .235 with 14 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 41 walks.
• Angel Martinez is hitting .226 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 16 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Mariners vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians

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