Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2025 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bo Bichette and the Toronto Blue Jays are ready for a matchup with Jorge Polanco and the Seattle Mariners on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -187 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +155 moneyline odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +117 odds). The total for the game is listed at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Mets!

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and SN1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners -187 +155 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +117 -138

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mariners 58%, Blue Jays 42%

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been favorites in 25 games this season and won 15 (60%) of those contests.
  • This season Seattle has won two of its three games when favored by at least -187 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.2% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • The Blue Jays have come away with 11 wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Toronto has been listed as an underdog of +155 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total eight times.
  • The Mariners' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 10
ERA 4.10
K/9 7.5

Mariners Player Insights

  • Cal Raleigh has a team-high 12 home runs.
  • Among all MLB batters, Raleigh ranks 95th in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Polanco has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 28 RBI.
  • Julio Rodriguez has four doubles, two triples, six home runs and 17 walks while hitting .234.
  • Rodriguez has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena is batting .234 with nine doubles, five home runs and 26 walks.
  • Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, four walks and two RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+135)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+205)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+110)
Julio Rodríguez 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+135)
Ryan Tellez 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+170)

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Blue Jays have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5
HR 12
ERA 4.44
K/9 10.4

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has plated a team-best 18 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Guerrero's home run total ranks 112th and his RBI tally is 84th.
  • Bichette has driven in the most runs for the Blue Jays with 18 runs batted in.
  • Bichette ranks 197th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 84th in RBI.
  • George Springer paces the Blue Jays with a team-best batting average of .292.
  • Anthony Santander leads the Blue Jays with five home runs.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+160)
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)
Addison Barger 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+140)
Bo Bichette 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+175)
Nathan Lukes 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+215)

Blue Jays vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Mets!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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