Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Tuesday at Progressive Field against Janson Junk, who is starting for the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Guardians as -136 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +115 moneyline odds. Cleveland (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. White Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Chicago White Sox.

Guardians vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSFL

Guardians vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Marlins 46%

Guardians vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 15-6, a 71.4% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have won in 48, or 48.5%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a mark of 37-37 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Ramirez leads the Guardians with 23 home runs and 61 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .289.
• Ramirez's home runs put him 21st in MLB, and he ranks 55th in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Kwan ranks 174th in homers and 167th in RBI on the season.
• Carlos Santana is batting .229 with nine doubles, 11 home runs and 49 walks.
• Kyle Manzardo is hitting .244 with 14 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 36 walks.
• Manzardo brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .462 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBIs.

Guardians Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Marlins are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Kyle Stowers has managed a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 71 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Stowers ranks 15th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .303 to lead the lineup.
• Edwards is currently 411th in home runs and 200th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .244 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .237 with 24 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 24 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Guardians vs. White Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Chicago White Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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