Guardians vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Matt Olson will lead the Atlanta Braves into a matchup with Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The Braves are -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Guardians (-118). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 15, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, CLEG, and FDSSO

Guardians vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Braves 46%

Guardians vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Guardians have won 33, or 62.3%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cleveland has a record of 29-16 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Braves have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (27.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Atlanta has been victorious seven times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Ramirez is the bat to watch in the Guardians lineup, leading the team in batting average (.298), home runs (25), and RBI (64).
• Among all hitters in baseball, Ramirez is 15th in home runs and 49th in RBI.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Steven Kwan has 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 42 walks while batting .275.
• Of all major league hitters, Kwan ranks 155th in home runs and 165th in RBI.
• Kwan heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Carlos Santana has nine doubles, 11 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .227.
• Kyle Manzardo has 14 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .242.

Guardians Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 4-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Braves have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Olson has put up a team-best batting average of .262 and leads the Braves in runs batted in with a mark of 71.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Olson's home run total is 48th and his RBI tally is 23rd.
• Marcell Ozuna's 20 home runs pace his team.
• Ozuna is 41st overall in homers and 63rd in RBI this season.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .227 with 16 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 46 walks.
• Michael Harris II has 20 doubles, six triples, 13 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .250.

Braves Team Props

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Cleveland Guardians

Atlanta Braves