Cardinals vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6

Cardinals vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6

Updated May. 6, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Gibson takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday at Busch Stadium against Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:45 PM ET. The Mets are listed as +116 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Cardinals (-137). St. Louis (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the game (with -116 odds to go over and -104 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cardinals-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cardinals vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, May 6, 2024 at 7:45 PM ET
  • Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cardinals -137 +116 8 -116 -104 -1.5 +153 -183

Cardinals vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Cardinals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cardinals 51%, Mets 49%

Cardinals vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cardinals have been favored 17 times and won eight, or 47.1%, of those games.
  • St. Louis has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 57.8%.
  • The Mets have won in five, or 35.7%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 4-3 when favored by +116 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
NYM 4 · STL 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
St. Louis Cardinals
STL

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cardinals were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Cardinals and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
  • The Cardinals' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 7
ERA 3.19
K/9 8.5

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Nolan Arenado comes into Monday's game hitting .287 with 19 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Cardinals. He has also launched two home runs in 2024.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Arenado's home run total ranks him 166th, and his RBI tally puts him 42nd.
  • Willson Contreras has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs.
  • Contreras is 31st in homers in the majors, and 152nd in RBI.
  • Brendan Donovan is hitting .215 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.
  • Donovan will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Masyn Winn is hitting .266 with four doubles, two triples and 11 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jose Fermin 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+240)
Willson Contreras 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+150)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Nolan Arenado 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+130)
Dylan Carlson 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Cardinals vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 4.11
K/9 8.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor is batting .207 with seven doubles, six home runs and 12 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .280.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Lindor's home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally is 42nd.
  • Brandon Nimmo has collected 21 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Nimmo ranks 109th in homers and 28th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets with eight long balls.
  • Starling Marte leads the Mets with a .274 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+205)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Tomás Nido 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+330)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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