
Brewers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22
The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres will play on Monday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 p.m. ET, with Brice Turang and Fernando Tatis Jr. among those expected to produce at the plate. The Padres are listed as -108 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Brewers (-111). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +162 odds). The matchup's total is set at 7 runs.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Brewers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 22, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: SDPA and FDSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -111 | -108 | 7 | -105 | -115 | -1.5 | +162 | -197 |
Brewers vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Padres 49%
Brewers vs. Padres Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 59, or 64.1%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has entered 90 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 58-32 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
- The Padres have been victorious in 33, or 49.3%, of the 67 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- San Diego has a win-loss record of 31-34 when favored by -108 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
- The Brewers' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Brewers Player Insights
- William Contreras is batting .265 with 28 doubles, 17 home runs and 83 walks.
- Contreras ranks 108th in homers and 58th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Contreras carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, four walks and two RBIs.
- Turang is batting .286 with 26 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 61 walks.
- Turang is 97th in home runs and 55th in RBI on the year.
- Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 29 home runs and 100 runs batted in.
- Jackson Chourio has 34 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 28 walks while batting .275.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 (-229) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Jake Bauers | - | - | - | - |
| Freddy Peralta | - | - | - | - |
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-179) | - | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 (-157) | - | - | 0.5 (+280) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Padres Player Insights
- Tatis has 27 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 88 walks while hitting .267.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Tatis is 56th in homers and 94th in RBI.
- Tatis has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
- Manny Machado been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 93 runs batted in.
- Among all major league hitters, Machado is 39th in homers and 21st in RBI.
- Luis Arraez has racked up a team-high batting average of .287.
- Ramon Laureano is batting .282 with 26 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 34 walks.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-193) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+167) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+181) | 1.5 (+133) | - | 0.5 (+244) |
| Ramon Laureano | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Pivetta | - | - | - | - |
| Freddy Fermin | - | - | - | - |
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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