Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

D.L. Hall takes the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at American Family Field against James Wood and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET. The favored Brewers have -216 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +177. Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +100 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -119 odds to go over and -101 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 11, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: FDSWI and MASN2

Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Nationals 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 63%, Nationals 37%

Brewers vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 45 times and won 29, or 64.4%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has entered three games this season favored by -216 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 68.4% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (44.2%) in those contests.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 3-7 when favored by +177 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 36.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers went 1-3 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Brewers have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Jackson Chourio is batting .260 with 24 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 18 walks.
• Of all batters in baseball, Chourio's home run total places him 46th, and his RBI tally puts him 24th.
• Chourio has collected a hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .289 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
• Christian Yelich has hit 18 home runs with 63 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
• Yelich is 22nd in homers and 12th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Sal Frelick paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .290.
• Brice Turang has 14 doubles, five home runs and 38 walks while hitting .280.
• Turang has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a walk and two RBIs.

Brewers Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Wood paces the Nationals in home runs (24) and runs batted in (69).
• In all of MLB, Wood is eighth in homers and eighth in RBI.
• C.J. Abrams' .286 batting average leads his team.
• Abrams ranks 74th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 151st in RBI.
• Luis Garcia is batting .262 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 17 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .235 with 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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