Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Johan Oviedo will be on the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates when they take on Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves on Sunday at 3:15 p.m. ET. The Braves are -196 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Pirates (+162). Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +110 odds). A 7.5-run over/under has been listed for this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SportsNet PT

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Pirates 47%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 104 games this season and won 53 (51%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 13-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -196 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 66.2% chance to win.
• The Pirates have come away with 48 wins in the 113 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 6-12 when favored by +162 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 38.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Not only does Olson lead the Braves in hitting with his .271 average, he also is their premier power option with 29 home runs and 94 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 40th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Michael Harris II has 26 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 16 walks while hitting .248.
• Of all MLB hitters, Harris ranks 82nd in homers and 35th in RBI.
• Harris heads into this matchup looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
• Drake Baldwin is hitting .277 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
• Baldwin is on a 10-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBIs.
• Marcell Ozuna has 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 94 walks while batting .233.
• Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, three walks and three RBIs.

Braves Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 5-3 in those contests.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a team-leading batting average of .244 while pacing the Pirates in runs batted in with a mark of 73.
• Reynolds' home run total places him 123rd in MLB, and he is 74th in RBI.
• Reynolds takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double and a walk.
• Spencer Horwitz has 26 doubles, 11 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .273.
• Horwitz is currently 190th in homers and 171st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .238 with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 67 walks.
• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high 20 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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