Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Ronald Acuna Jr. will hit the field against the Miami Marlins and Jake Burger at LoanDepot park on Sunday, with the first pitch at 1:40 PM ET. The Braves have been listed as -123 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Marlins (+104). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the game (with -106 odds to hit the over and -113 odds on the under).

The Atlanta Braves will hand the ball to Charlie Morton (14-11, 3.42 ERA), who is looking for win No. 15 on the season, and the Marlins will counter with Jesus Luzardo (9-9, 3.99 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-123	+104	8	-106	-113	-1.5	+136	-163

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Marlins 47%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have been favored 135 times and won 88, or 65.2%, of those games.
Atlanta is 81-39 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Marlins have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (45%) in those contests.
This year, Miami has won 24 of 57 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves went 6-4 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.
The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	22
ERA	5.87
K/9	10.8

Braves Player Insights

Acuna paces the Braves with a team-best batting average of .337.
Among all MLB batters, Acuna ranks fourth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
Acuna carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Matt Olson has shown his power as he leads his team with 52 home runs and 129 RBI.
Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI on the season.
Olson heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with four home runs, four walks and six RBI.
Austin Riley is hitting .280 with 28 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 51 walks.
Riley will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .265 with 23 doubles, four triples, 30 home runs and 40 walks.
Albies takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .261 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 5-4.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	11
ERA	5.55
K/9	8.2

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .351.
Arraez's home run total puts him 207th in MLB, and he ranks 82nd in RBI.
Arraez has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, four home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Burger is hitting .245 with 26 doubles, a triple, 32 home runs and 30 walks.
Burger is 13th in homers and 63rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Bryan De La Cruz has driven in a team-best 75 runs batted in.
Josh Bell is batting .243 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 58 walks.