Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays face Otto Lopez and the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on Saturday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Blue Jays are listed as -144 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+121). Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +113 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game (with -109 odds on the over and -111 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Ken Rosenthal on Yankees, Blue Jays trade deadline plans, Rangers a darkhorse team, Eugenio Suarez on the move? | FULL EPISODE | The Herd

FOX MLB Insider Ken Rosenthal joins Danny Parkins ahead of tomorrow's Trade Deadline to discuss the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays' plans, why the Texas Rangers are a darkhorse team and how the Milwaukee Brewers can challenge the Los Angeles Dodgers down the stretch. Rosenthal also predicts the player who will most likely be on the move in the deadline, including Eugenio Suarez as a name to watch for.

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSFL, and SNET

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 51%, Marlins 49%

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 35 (58.3%) of those contests.
• Toronto has a record of 22-9, a 71% win rate, when favored by -144 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 59% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 106 games this season and have come away with the win 50 times (47.2%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 33 times in 69 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Blue Jays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero paces the Blue Jays with 21 home runs and has put up a team-best batting average of .298.
• Guerrero's home runs place him 42nd in the majors, and he is 43rd in RBI.
• Bo Bichette has a club-best 82 runs batted in and .298 batting average.
• Bichette ranks 85th in home runs and 15th in RBI on the year.
• Bichette carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .306 with four doubles, five walks and four RBIs.
• George Springer has launched a team-high 21 home runs.
• Springer will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .366 with four home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
• Ernie Clement is batting .275 with 24 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 22 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 2-5 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Xavier Edwards paces the Marlins with a .297 batting average.
• Edwards ranks 369th in homers and 211th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Lopez is hitting .240 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 39 walks.
• Lopez is 147th overall in homers and 78th in RBI this year.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .234 with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 26 walks.
• Eric Wagaman is batting .233 with 21 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 28 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Ken Rosenthal on Yankees, Blue Jays trade deadline plans, Rangers a darkhorse team, Eugenio Suarez on the move? | FULL EPISODE | The Herd

FOX MLB Insider Ken Rosenthal joins Danny Parkins ahead of tomorrow's Trade Deadline to discuss the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays' plans, why the Texas Rangers are a darkhorse team and how the Milwaukee Brewers can challenge the Los Angeles Dodgers down the stretch. Rosenthal also predicts the player who will most likely be on the move in the deadline, including Eugenio Suarez as a name to watch for.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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