Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 23, 2025

Published Dec. 20, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in the New Orleans Bowl as just 2.5-point favorites on December 23, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. A total of 57.5 points has been set for this matchup.

The Hilltoppers lost to the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 37-34, in their last game. The Golden Eagles lost to the Troy Trojans, 28-18, in their last contest.

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Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET
Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss Betting Information updated as of December 20, 2025, 5:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Western Kentucky	-2.5 (-111)	-139	+117	57.5	-111	-109

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Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss Prediction

Pick ATS: Southern Miss (+2.5)
Pick OU: Under (57.5)
Prediction: Western Kentucky 28, Southern Miss 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. the Southern Miss Golden Eagles game on FOX Sports!

Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Hilltoppers 30, Golden Eagles 28.
The Hilltoppers have a 58.2% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Golden Eagles hold a 46.1% implied probability.
Western Kentucky has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Southern Miss has won five games against the spread this season, failing to cover or pushing seven times.

Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Western Kentucky	Southern Miss
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.8 (54)	29.8 (52)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.4 (53)	27.4 (78)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	18 (92)	14 (48)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (94)	26 (4)

Western Kentucky 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maverick McIvor	QB	1,863 YDS (67.3%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 28 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 4 RUSH YPG
La'Vell Wright	RB	460 YDS / 10 TD / 38.3 YPG / 5.8 YPC 10 REC / 88 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 8.8 REC YPG
Matthew Henry	WR	48 REC / 762 YDS / 6 TD / 63.5 YPG
Rodney Tisdale Jr.	QB	1,367 YDS (67.7%) / 9 TD / 6 INT 105 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 15 RUSH YPG
Jaylen Lewis	DB	45 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jaylen Wester	LB	65 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Harper Holloman	DL	26 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Dave Herard	DB	36 TKL / 1 TFL

Southern Miss 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Braylon Braxton	QB	2,795 YDS (65.2%) / 23 TD / 7 INT 194 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 17.6 RUSH YPG
Jeffery Pittman	RB	640 YDS / 8 TD / 64 YPG / 4.4 YPC 23 REC / 93 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG
Carl Chester	WR	30 REC / 565 YDS / 7 TD / 47.1 YPG
Elijah Metcalf	WR	52 REC / 677 YDS / 2 TD / 61.5 YPG
Chris Jones	LB	84 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
J'Mond Tapp	DL	51 TKL / 11 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Ian Foster	DB	45 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT
Michael Montgomery	LB	63 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT