Texas State vs. South Alabama Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Texas State Bobcats (5-6) are 8.5-point favorites at home at UFCU Stadium against the South Alabama Jaguars (4-7) on Saturday, November 29, 2025. Both teams have high-powered running games, with the Bobcats 16th in rushing yards per game, and the Jaguars 23rd. The over/under is 62.5 for this game.

Facing the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks in their last game, the Bobcats won 31-14. The Jaguars' last game was versus the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, and they won by a score of 42-35.

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas State vs South Alabama Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas State	-8.5 (-119)	-340	+273	62.5	-112	-108

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas State (-8.5)
Pick OU: Under (62.5)
Prediction: Texas State 35, South Alabama 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas State Bobcats vs. the South Alabama Jaguars game on FOX Sports!

Texas State vs. South Alabama Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bobcats 36, Jaguars 27.
The Bobcats have a 77.3% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Jaguars hold a 26.8% implied probability.
Texas State has compiled a 3-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
South Alabama has won five games against the spread this season, failing to cover six times.

Texas State vs. South Alabama: Head-to-Head

Texas State owns a 3-1 record against South Alabama in their last four matchups.
The Bobcats carry a 3-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams went over the point total each time.
South Alabama has scored 151 points in its last four tilts versus Texas State, mirroring the Bobcats' offensive output (151 points) in those games.

Texas State vs. South Alabama: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas State	South Alabama
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	34.9 (23)	26.5 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	31 (109)	28.7 (91)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	14 (67)	11 (21)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (125)	13 (79)

Texas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brad Jackson	QB	2,769 YDS (70.9%) / 16 TD / 7 INT 579 RUSH YDS / 13 RUSH TD / 52.6 RUSH YPG
Lincoln Pare	RB	931 YDS / 11 TD / 84.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 32 REC / 265 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 24.1 REC YPG
Beau Sparks	WR	77 REC / 1,056 YDS / 8 TD / 96 YPG
Chris Dawn Jr.	WR	46 REC / 777 YDS / 2 TD / 77.7 YPG
Treylin Payne	LB	79 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Bobby Crosby	DB	52 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Ryan Nolan	DB	57 TKL / 1 TFL
Kalil Alexander	DL	36 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK

South Alabama 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bishop Davenport	QB	1,977 YDS (68.5%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 296 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 26.9 RUSH YPG
Kentrel Bullock	RB	1,001 YDS / 13 TD / 91 YPG / 4.9 YPC 11 REC / 48 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6 REC YPG
Devin Voisin	WR	60 REC / 724 YDS / 4 TD / 65.8 YPG
Keenan Phillips	RB	581 YDS / 2 TD / 52.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Tirrell Johnson Jr.	LB	46 TKL / 6 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Darius McKenzie	LB	51 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Blayne Myrick	LB	53 TKL / 6 TFL
Christopher Wallace Jr.	DB	39 TKL / 2 TFL