Oregon vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Odds, Picks - January 1, 2026

Updated Jan. 1, 2026 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Oregon Ducks (12-1) square off against the No. 4 Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-1) in the Orange Bowl in Miami Gardens, Florida in the quarterfinal round of the College Football Playoff. The game starts at 12 p.m. ET, and Oregon is a 2.5 favorite. The total for this game has been set at 50.5 points.

The Ducks' last game was versus the James Madison Dukes, and they won by a score of 51-34. The Red Raiders beat the BYU Cougars, 34-7, in their most recent game.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Oregon vs Texas Tech Betting Information updated as of January 1, 2026, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Oregon	-2.5 (-114)	-136	+115	50.5	-111	-109

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Oregon vs. Texas Tech Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas Tech (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (50.5)
Prediction: Texas Tech 28, Oregon 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Oregon Ducks vs. the Texas Tech Red Raiders game on FOX Sports!

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Ducks 26, Red Raiders 24.
The Ducks have a 57.6% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Raiders hold a 46.5% implied probability.
Oregon has put together a 7-6-0 record against the spread this season.
Texas Tech has put together a 12-1-0 record against the spread this year.

Oregon vs. Texas Tech: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Oregon	Texas Tech
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.2 (8)	42.5 (2)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	16.3 (11)	10.9 (3)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (10)	14 (40)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	17 (56)	31 (1)

Oregon 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Dante Moore	QB	3,046 YDS (72.4%) / 28 TD / 8 INT 196 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 15.1 RUSH YPG
Jordon Davison	RB	625 YDS / 13 TD / 48.1 YPG / 6.4 YPC
Noah Whittington	RB	798 YDS / 6 TD / 72.5 YPG / 6.9 YPC 17 REC / 88 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Malik Benson	WR	36 REC / 645 YDS / 6 TD / 49.6 YPG
Teitum Tuioti	LB	52 TKL / 8 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Bryce Boettcher	LB	81 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Dillon Thieneman	DB	56 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Aaron Flowers	DB	50 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Texas Tech 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Cameron Dickey	RB	1,097 YDS / 14 TD / 84.4 YPG / 5.5 YPC 24 REC / 216 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 18 REC YPG
Behren Morton	QB	2,643 YDS (67%) / 22 TD / 4 INT
J'Koby Williams	RB	785 YDS / 6 TD / 60.4 YPG / 5.6 YPC 29 REC / 372 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 33.8 REC YPG
Caleb Douglas	WR	55 REC / 845 YDS / 7 TD / 65 YPG
Jacob Rodriguez	LB	106 TKL / 6 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT
David Bailey	LB	42 TKL / 12 TFL / 13.5 SACK
Ben Roberts	LB	71 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Romello Height	LB	30 TKL / 6 TFL / 8.5 SACK