Notre Dame vs. Boise State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-2), who have college football's 11th-ranked scoring offense, take on the Boise State Broncos (3-1) and their 22nd-ranked scoring offense on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The Fighting Irish are heavy, 21.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 63.5 for the outing.

The Fighting Irish's last game was versus the Arkansas Razorbacks, and they won by a score of 56-13. Facing the Appalachian State Mountaineers in their last game, the Broncos won 47-14.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

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Notre Dame vs. Boise State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Indiana
TV: NBC
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Notre Dame vs Boise State Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Notre Dame	-21.5 (-110)	-1587	+906	63.5	-108	-118

Notre Dame vs. Boise State Prediction

Pick ATS: Notre Dame (-21.5)
Pick OU: Over (63.5)
Prediction: Notre Dame 49, Boise State 18

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. the Boise State Broncos game on FOX Sports!

Notre Dame vs. Boise State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Fighting Irish 42, Broncos 21.
The Fighting Irish have a 94.1% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Broncos have a 9.9% implied probability.
Notre Dame has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
Boise State has covered three times in four matchups with a spread this season.

Notre Dame vs. Boise State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Notre Dame	Boise State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	44 (26)	38.5 (39)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	27.8 (73)	24.8 (55)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (25)	4 (25)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (71)	7 (38)

Notre Dame 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jeremiyah Love	RB	341 YDS / 5 TD / 85.3 YPG / 5.2 YPC 13 REC / 149 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 49.7 REC YPG
CJ Carr	QB	1,091 YDS (68.3%) / 9 TD / 2 INT 1 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 0.3 RUSH YPG
Jadarian Price	RB	273 YDS / 6 TD / 68.3 YPG / 6.8 YPC 1 REC / 35 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.5 REC YPG
Jordan Faison	WR	19 REC / 244 YDS / 2 TD / 61 YPG
Boubacar Traore	DL	15 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Jalen Stroman	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL
Adon Shuler	DB	12 TKL / 0 TFL
Jaylen Sneed	LB	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maddux Madsen	QB	1,129 YDS (60.3%) / 9 TD / 1 INT 52 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Dylan Riley	RB	360 YDS / 5 TD / 90 YPG / 7.5 YPC 4 REC / 89 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 29.7 REC YPG
Ben Ford	WR	11 REC / 193 YDS / 3 TD / 48.3 YPG
Malik Sherrod	RB	198 YDS / 2 TD / 49.5 YPG / 5.8 YPC 8 REC / 63 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.8 REC YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	31 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Marco Notarainni	LB	28 TKL / 0 TFL
Braxton Fely	DL	11 TKL / 2 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Jayden Virgin	DL	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK