New Mexico vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 25, 2025

Updated Oct. 25, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos (4-3) are 3-point favorites when they host the Utah State Aggies (4-3) in an MWC matchup on Saturday, October 25, 2025 at University Stadium (NM). The over/under is set at 61.5 for the contest.

The Lobos beat the Nevada Wolf Pack, 24-22, in their most recent contest. The Aggies beat the San Jose State Spartans, 30-25, in their last contest.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

New Mexico vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: MW Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

New Mexico vs Utah State Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico	-3 (-110)	-150	+127	61.5	-110	-110

New Mexico vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (-3)
Pick OU: Under (61.5)
Prediction: New Mexico 33, Utah State 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Lobos 32, Aggies 29.
The Lobos have a 60.0% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies hold a 44.1% implied probability.
New Mexico is 3-4-0 ATS this season.
Utah State has won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover once.

New Mexico vs. Utah State: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, Utah State has collected three wins against New Mexico.
The two teams have gone over the total on two occasions while sharing a split 2-2 record in their matchups against the spread.
New Mexico has been outscored by 40 points in its last four tilts against Utah State.

New Mexico vs. Utah State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico	Utah State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28.4 (73)	34 (36)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26.3 (79)	31.6 (116)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	16 (133)	6 (21)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	4 (126)	8 (70)

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jack Layne	QB	1,415 YDS (66.3%) / 8 TD / 8 INT 73 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 10.4 RUSH YPG
Damon Bankston	RB	326 YDS / 3 TD / 46.6 YPG / 5.6 YPC 14 REC / 200 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 28.6 REC YPG
Scottre Humphrey	RB	339 YDS / 5 TD / 48.4 YPG / 4.9 YPC 3 REC / 22 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5.5 REC YPG
Dorian Thomas	TE	37 REC / 404 YDS / 4 TD / 57.7 YPG
Jaxton Eck	LB	65 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	28 TKL / 6 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Brett Karhu	DL	10 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Xavier Slayton	DL	15 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT

Utah State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bryson Barnes	QB	1,644 YDS (65.1%) / 13 TD / 2 INT 363 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 51.9 RUSH YPG
Miles Davis	RB	466 YDS / 3 TD / 66.6 YPG / 6.2 YPC 19 REC / 140 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 28 REC YPG
Braden Pegan	WR	34 REC / 546 YDS / 4 TD / 78 YPG
Javen Jacobs	RB	211 YDS / 2 TD / 30.1 YPG / 5.1 YPC 21 REC / 188 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 26.9 REC YPG
John Miller	LB	57 TKL / 7 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Bronson Olevao	LB	46 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Noah Avinger	DB	42 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
William Holmes	LB	35 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK