Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30, 2025

Updated Aug. 30, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (0-0) will attempt to prove oddsmakers wrong when they play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (0-0) on Saturday, August 30, 2025 as an overwhelming 14.5-point underdog. This matchup has an over/under of 60.5 points.

The Bulldogs went 2-10 last year and failed to qualify for a bowl game. They scored 25.8 points per game (85th in college football) and allowed 34.1 (118th). A year ago, the Golden Eagles failed to make a bowl appearance after finishing 1-11 during the regular season. Offensively they averaged 15.3 points per game (132nd in college football), and they conceded 37.8 per game (128th in college football) defensively.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, Mississippi
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Mississippi State vs Southern Miss Betting Information updated as of August 30, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Mississippi State	-14.5 (-106)	-599	+423	60.5	-110	-110

Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (-14.5)
Pick OU: Under (60.5)
Prediction: Mississippi State 39, Southern Miss 18

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. the Southern Miss Golden Eagles game on FOX Sports!

Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Bulldogs 38, Golden Eagles 23.
The Bulldogs have an 85.7% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Golden Eagles hold a 19.1% implied probability.
Mississippi State compiled a 7-5-0 record against the spread last season.
Southern Miss put together a 4-8-0 ATS record last year.

Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Mississippi State	Southern Miss
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	25.8 (91)	15.3 (132)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	34.1 (115)	37.8 (127)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	18 (63)	29 (132)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (110)	10 (125)

Mississippi State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Davon Booth	RB	759 YDS / 5 TD / 63.3 YPG / 5 YPC 13 REC / 164 REC YDS / 4 REC TD / 14.9 REC YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	74 REC / 932 YDS / 6 TD / 77.7 YPG
Michael Van Buren Jr.	QB	1,886 YDS (54.7%) / 11 TD / 7 INT -12 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / -1 RUSH YPG
Johnnie Daniels	RB	540 YDS / 4 TD / 45 YPG / 5 YPC
Stone Blanton	LB	115 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Isaac Smith	DB	105 TKL / 0 TFL
Nic Mitchell	LB	70 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Corey Ellington	DB	49 TKL / 0 TFL

Southern Miss 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kenyon Clay	RB	387 YDS / 7 TD / 32.3 YPG / 4.6 YPC 21 REC / 225 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 22.5 REC YPG
Rodrigues Clark	RB	604 YDS / 1 TD / 50.3 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Ethan Crawford	QB	849 YDS (41.7%) / 0 TD / 7 INT 211 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.4 RUSH YPG
Larry Simmons	WR	27 REC / 421 YDS / 1 TD / 35.1 YPG
Tre Pinkney	LB	58 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Chris Jones	LB	35 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Jay Jones	DB	44 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Brodarius Lewis	DL	28 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK