Miami (FL) vs. SMU Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 1, 2025

Updated Nov. 1, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (6-1), who have college football's 10th-ranked rush defense, take on the SMU Mustangs (5-3) and their 15th-ranked rushing defense on Saturday, November 1, 2025. The Hurricanes are double-digit, 10.5-point favorites. The total for this game has been set at 50.5 points.

In their last action, the Hurricanes won against the Stanford Cardinal, 42-7. The Mustangs' last contest was versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, and they lost by a score of 13-12.

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Miami (FL) vs. SMU Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Miami (FL) vs SMU Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Miami (FL)	-10.5 (-108)	-398	+309	50.5	-110	-110

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Miami (FL) vs. SMU Prediction

Pick ATS: Miami (FL) (-10.5)
Pick OU: Under (50.5)
Prediction: Miami (FL) 33, SMU 17

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Miami Hurricanes vs. the SMU Mustangs game on FOX Sports!

Miami (FL) vs. SMU Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Hurricanes 30, Mustangs 20.
The Hurricanes have a 79.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Mustangs have a 24.4% implied probability.
Miami (FL) has covered five times in seven chances against the spread this season.
SMU has a record of 2-5-0 against the spread this year.

Miami (FL) vs. SMU: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Miami (FL)	SMU
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	34 (53)	31.4 (44)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	14.1 (4)	21.4 (48)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (23)	13 (113)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (32)	20 (1)

Miami (FL) 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Mark Fletcher	RB	552 YDS / 9 TD / 78.9 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Carson Beck	QB	1,673 YDS (72.9%) / 12 TD / 7 INT 34 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 5.7 RUSH YPG
Malachi Toney	WR	43 REC / 562 YDS / 3 TD / 80.3 YPG
CJ Daniels	WR	33 REC / 351 YDS / 6 TD / 50.1 YPG
Jakobe Thomas	DB	23 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Keionte Scott	DB	31 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Akheem Mesidor	DL	26 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Rueben Bain Jr.	DL	25 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT

SMU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kevin Jennings	QB	2,119 YDS (66.3%) / 17 TD / 8 INT 33 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 4.1 RUSH YPG
Tomarion Harden	RB	455 YDS / 5 TD / 56.9 YPG / 4.2 YPC 11 REC / 61 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.3 REC YPG
Chris Johnson Jr.	RB	314 YDS / 3 TD / 44.9 YPG / 7.5 YPC 13 REC / 163 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 23.3 REC YPG
Romello Brinson	WR	37 REC / 515 YDS / 3 TD / 64.4 YPG
Cam Robertson	DL	31 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Ahmaad Moses	DB	47 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT
Isaiah Nwokobia	DB	53 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Terry Webb	DL	27 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK