Kansas State vs. TCU Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The TCU Horned Frogs (4-3) are 6-point underdogs in a road Big 12 matchup with the Kansas State Wildcats (4-2) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. The point total is set at 59.5.

In their last action, the Wildcats won against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 38-21. The Horned Frogs beat the BYU Cougars, 44-11, in their most recent game.

Kansas State vs. TCU Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas
TV: ESPN2
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Kansas State vs TCU Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 2:47 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Kansas State	-6 (-109)	-234	+190	59.5	-111	-109

Kansas State vs. TCU Prediction

Pick ATS: Kansas State (-6)
Pick OU: Under (59.5)
Prediction: Kansas State 32, TCU 25

Learn more about the Kansas State Wildcats vs. the TCU Horned Frogs game on FOX Sports!

Kansas State vs. TCU Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wildcats 33, Horned Frogs 27.
The Wildcats have a 70.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Horned Frogs have a 34.5% implied probability.
Kansas State has covered four times in six games with a spread this season.
TCU has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover three times.

Kansas State vs. TCU: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head meetings, Kansas State has won against TCU two times.
The last three times the Wildcats have played the Horned Frogs, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Kansas State has tallied 90 points against TCU, while surrendering only 78 points.

Kansas State vs. TCU: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Kansas State	TCU
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	36.2 (40)	33.1 (27)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.7 (25)	20.4 (49)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (34)	12 (101)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (96)	9 (62)

Kansas State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Will Howard	QB	1,310 YDS (61.5%) / 9 TD / 7 INT 227 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 37.8 RUSH YPG
DJ Giddens	RB	541 YDS / 4 TD / 90.2 YPG / 5.8 YPC 17 REC / 140 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.3 REC YPG
Treshaun Ward	RB	345 YDS / 2 TD / 57.5 YPG / 5.7 YPC 7 REC / 72 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 12.0 REC YPG
Avery Johnson	QB	132 YDS (84.6%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 146 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 24.3 RUSH YPG
Austin Moore	LB	39 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Khalid Duke	DE	11 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK
Kobe Savage	S	31 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Marques Sigle	S	30 TKL / 2.0 TFL

TCU 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Chandler Morris	QB	1,509 YDS (65.7%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 249 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 35.6 RUSH YPG
Emani Bailey	RB	751 YDS / 2 TD / 107.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC 12 REC / 97 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
John Paul Richardson	WR	27 REC / 399 YDS / 2 TD / 57.0 YPG
Savion Williams	WR	17 REC / 213 YDS / 3 TD / 30.4 YPG
Namdi Obiazor	LB	50 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Jamoi Hodge	LB	34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Shadrach Banks	LB	33 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Mark Perry	S	29 TKL / 2.0 TFL