James Madison vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28, 2025

Updated Oct. 28, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Texas State Bobcats (3-4) and the 10th-ranked run offense will play the James Madison Dukes (6-1) and the second-ranked run defense on Tuesday, October 28, 2025. The Dukes are favored by 6.5 points in the game. An over/under of 55.5 is set for the game.

The Dukes won versus the Old Dominion Monarchs in their most recent game, 63-27. The Bobcats lost to the Marshall Thundering Herd, 40-37, in their last contest.

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James Madison vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, October 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

James Madison vs Texas State Betting Information updated as of October 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
James Madison	-6.5 (-122)	-255	+207	55.5	-109	-111

James Madison vs. Texas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas State (+6.5)
Pick OU: Over (55.5)
Prediction: James Madison 33, Texas State 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the James Madison Dukes vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!

James Madison vs. Texas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Dukes 31, Bobcats 24.
The Dukes have a 71.8% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats have a 32.6% implied probability.
James Madison has put together a 5-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
Texas State has covered twice in seven games with a spread this year.

James Madison vs. Texas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	James Madison	Texas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.3 (65)	36.1 (39)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	15.6 (9)	31.3 (97)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (61)	8 (40)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (82)	2 (136)

James Madison 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Alonza Barnett III	QB	1,252 YDS (61.3%) / 9 TD / 2 INT 266 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 38 RUSH YPG
Wayne Knight	RB	611 YDS / 5 TD / 87.3 YPG / 6.6 YPC 23 REC / 165 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.6 REC YPG
Landon Ellis	WR	25 REC / 400 YDS / 5 TD / 57.1 YPG
Jordan Fuller	RB	340 YDS / 2 TD / 68 YPG / 5.3 YPC
Trent Hendrick	LB	31 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jacob Thomas	DB	26 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Sahir West	DL	16 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Tyler Brown	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Texas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brad Jackson	QB	1,786 YDS (69.7%) / 9 TD / 2 INT 384 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 54.9 RUSH YPG
Lincoln Pare	RB	608 YDS / 9 TD / 86.9 YPG / 5.2 YPC 17 REC / 165 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.6 REC YPG
Beau Sparks	WR	47 REC / 674 YDS / 6 TD / 96.3 YPG
Greg Burrell	RB	330 YDS / 3 TD / 55 YPG / 6.7 YPC 6 REC / 79 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 26.3 REC YPG
Treylin Payne	LB	59 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Bobby Crosby	DB	36 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Kalil Alexander	DL	25 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Ryan Nolan	DB	36 TKL / 0 TFL