2026 NFL MVP Odds: Allen Favored; Can Burrow, Williams Get In The Mix?

By the narrowest of margins, Matthew Stafford took home the NFL MVP award last season. 

Stafford beat Drake Maye by one first-place vote (24 to 23) and five total points (366 to 361) in the 2025 NFL MVP voting. 

Who will reign supreme in 2026? It's a tight race through eight weeks. 

Let's check out the latest odds at bet365 Sportsbook as of Nov. 4, as well as what to know about each contender.

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Josh Allen: +160

Buffalo Bills

What To Know: Josh Allen's MVP odds moved from +170 last week to +160 this week. Allen has 20 total touchdowns on the year, but he's been doing most of the damage to defenses using his feet. Through the air, he has 11 touchdowns but also five interceptions. On the ground, he has nine rushing scores, second-most in the NFL behind Chicago's D'Andre Swift (10). He has at least one rushing score in six of Buffalo's seven games, and he has been responsible for at least two touchdowns in every game this season. In Week 8, he put up 289 passing yards, two passing TDs, a rushing TD and a pick. The Bills are atop the AFC East (6-1) and have won three in a row.

Brock Purdy: +450

San Francisco 49ers

What To Know: Purdy slipped from +350 last week to +450 this week, after the Niners had a bye in the wake of their Week 7 loss to Atlanta — their first loss of the year (6-1). Even with all of San Francisco's injuries on the offensive side of the ball, their QB has been dominant so far. Through Week 8, he has 1,748 passing yards, 15 TDs and only four picks, two of which came in the loss to the Falcons. San Francisco continues to be atop the NFC West standings.

Joe Burrow: +450

Cincinnati Bengals

What To Know: After three straight wins — including one of the most incredible second-half performances you will see — Burrow is now tied with Purdy for second on the board. In Week 7, the Bengals trailed the Ravens 13-0 at half, before Burrow went off. In the final two quarters, he went 16 of 18 passing for 249 yards and four touchdowns, with a perfect 158.3 passer rating. Sheesh. In Week 8 against the Titans, he threw for 462 yards, five TDs and three picks. Cincy is 5-2 and second in the AFC North.

Caleb Williams: +550

Chicago Bears

What To Know: This MVP race feels like it is waiting for Williams to get in it. A hamstring injury sidelined him for multiple weeks, but Williams is now back and the Bears have won three in a row, including victories over the Patriots and Seahawks. Impressive. During this three-game win streak, Williams has completed 76 of 103 passes (73.8%) for 860 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Chicago is 6-2 on the year and second in the NFC North.

Trevor Lawrence: +900

Jacksonville Jaguars

What To Know: Jacksonville is 5-2 and sits atop the AFC South after Week 8. T-Law didn't have to do much work this past week in a 42-17 blowout win over Indy, but he did complete 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards and three TDs. Another day at the office. On the year, Lawrence has 17 passing TDs to only four interceptions. Why isn't he getting more love?

 

Drake Maye: +1500

New England Patriots

What To Know: It has been a tale of two seasons for the Patriots' franchise QB this year. After throwing just one touchdown and six interceptions in his first three games, Maye has thrown 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions over his next five, adding three rushing scores. Maye’s 14 total touchdowns in October (up from one in September), mark a 13-touchdown increase — tied for the largest month-over-month jump in NFL history. In Week 8, he completed 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards and two TDs in a win over Miami. He also had a rushing TD. New England is 5-3 and second in the AFC East.