Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) are 11.5-point favorites at home at Jack Trice Stadium against the Baylor Bears (2-3) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. Both teams have tough pass defenses, with the Cyclones second against the pass in the nation, and the Bears 19th defending the passing attack. A total of 45.5 points has been set for this game.

Facing the Houston Cougars in their last game, the Cyclones won 20-0. Last time around, the Bears fell to the BYU Cougars, with 34-28 being the final score.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Abu Sama rushes for an INCREDIBLE 77-yard TD, extending Iowa State's lead over Houston

Abu Sama rushed for an INCREDIBLE 77-yard TD to extend the Iowa State Cyclones' lead over the Houston Cougars.

Iowa State vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa
TV: FOX
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Iowa State vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of October 5, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Iowa State	-11.5 (-111)	-474	+354	45.5	-107	-118

Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction

Pick ATS: Iowa State (-11.5)
Pick OU: Under (45.5)
Prediction: Iowa State 31, Baylor 13

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Iowa State Cyclones vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

Iowa State vs. Baylor Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cyclones 28, Bears 17.
The Cyclones have an 82.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 22.0% implied probability.
Iowa State has compiled a perfect 3-0-0 record against the spread this season.
Baylor has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this year.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head

Baylor holds a 2-1 record against Iowa State in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Bears have matched up against the Cyclones, they have a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the point total each time.
Over their last three head-to-head matchups, Iowa State has racked up 83 points, while Baylor has accumulated 80.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Iowa State	Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28.3 (91)	29.4 (53)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	7.3 (3)	20.2 (57)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (15)	8 (96)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (11)	6 (62)

Iowa State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rocco Becht	QB	896 YDS (66.4%) / 7 TD / 2 INT 27 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 6.8 RUSH YPG
Jayden Higgins	WR	25 REC / 287 YDS / 4 TD / 71.8 YPG
Jaylin Noel	WR	19 REC / 353 YDS / 2 TD / 88.3 YPG
Abu Sama III	RB	225 YDS / 1 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Malik Verdon	DB	23 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
J.R. Singleton	DL	10 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Beau Freyler	DB	20 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jontez Williams	DB	15 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Baylor 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Sawyer Robertson	QB	787 YDS (60.2%) / 6 TD / 2 INT 116 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.2 RUSH YPG
Josh Cameron	WR	16 REC / 267 YDS / 3 TD / 53.4 YPG
Ashtyn Hawkins	WR	11 REC / 192 YDS / 2 TD / 38.4 YPG
Bryson Washington	RB	158 YDS / 1 TD / 31.6 YPG / 4.5 YPC 9 REC / 74 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Keaton Thomas	LB	26 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Matt Jones	LB	28 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Treven Ma'ae	DL	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Devyn Bobby	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL