Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 3:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Duke Blue Devils (4-0) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) take the field to try to take home the Victory Bell on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils are only 1-point favorites. The total is 55.5 points for this game.

The Blue Devils won against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in their most recent game, 45-17. Last time around, the Tar Heels fell to the James Madison Dukes, with 70-50 being the final score.

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Duke vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Duke vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of September 28, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Duke	-1 (-110)	-116	-105	55.5	-112	-110

Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (-1)
Pick OU: Over (55.5)
Prediction: Duke 33, North Carolina 29

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Blue Devils 28, Tar Heels 27.
The Blue Devils have a 53.7% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels hold a 51.2% implied probability.
Duke has covered twice in three chances against the spread this season.
North Carolina has won one game against the spread this year.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Head-to-Head

North Carolina owns a 3-0 record against Duke in their last three matchups.
In those contests against North Carolina, the Blue Devils have covered two times while going over the point total on two occasions.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, North Carolina has scored 123 points, while Duke has posted 87.

Duke vs. North Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Duke	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.8 (58)	38 (15)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	15.3 (30)	29.3 (104)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (70)	7 (103)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (15)	4 (74)

Duke 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maalik Murphy	QB	1,016 YDS (64.3%) / 11 TD / 4 INT
Jordan Moore	WR	24 REC / 340 YDS / 3 TD / 85 YPG
Star Thomas	RB	314 YDS / 2 TD / 78.5 YPG / 4.6 YPC 2 REC / 41 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG
Eli Pancol	WR	15 REC / 189 YDS / 4 TD / 47.3 YPG
Alex Howard	LB	29 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Cameron Bergeron	LB	17 TKL / 5 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Wesley Williams	DL	12 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Terry Moore	DB	12 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

North Carolina 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Omarion Hampton	RB	555 YDS / 6 TD / 138.8 YPG / 6.5 YPC 9 REC / 57 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.3 REC YPG
Jacolby Criswell	QB	638 YDS (59.7%) / 4 TD / 2 INT
Davion Gause	RB	152 YDS / 2 TD / 38 YPG / 6.1 YPC
Bryson Nesbit	TE	12 REC / 175 YDS / 2 TD / 43.8 YPG
Jahvaree Ritzie	DL	7 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Amare Campbell	LB	16 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Antavious Lane	DB	15 TKL / 0 TFL
Kaleb Cost	DB	14 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT