Boise State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Oddsmakers massively favor the Boise State Broncos (3-2) when they host the New Mexico Lobos (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 in a matchup between MWC rivals at Albertsons Stadium. Boise State is favored by 15.5 points. The point total for the outing is set at 58.5.

In their most recent action, the Broncos lost versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 28-7. The Lobos lost to the San Jose State Spartans, 35-28, in their most recent contest.

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Boise State vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 9:45 p.m. ET
Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Boise State vs New Mexico Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-15.5 (-107)	-649	+474	58.5	-107	-112

Boise State vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+15.5)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: Boise State 31, New Mexico 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Broncos 37, Lobos 22.
The Broncos have an 86.6% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Lobos hold a 17.4% implied probability.
Boise State has covered four times in five games with a spread this season.
New Mexico is 3-2-0 ATS this year.

Boise State vs. New Mexico: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, Boise State has totaled three wins versus New Mexico.
The last three times the Broncos have gone up against the Lobos, they have posted a 2-0-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
New Mexico has been outscored by 82 points in its last three tilts versus Boise State.

Boise State vs. New Mexico: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	New Mexico
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.2 (68)	30 (79)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	25.4 (60)	24.2 (49)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (85)	11 (122)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (62)	4 (113)

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maddux Madsen	QB	1,344 YDS (60.1%) / 9 TD / 5 INT 57 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 11.4 RUSH YPG
Dylan Riley	RB	393 YDS / 5 TD / 78.6 YPG / 7.4 YPC 6 REC / 100 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 25 REC YPG
LaTrell Caples	WR	21 REC / 292 YDS / 2 TD / 58.4 YPG
Ben Ford	WR	14 REC / 221 YDS / 3 TD / 44.2 YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	37 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Marco Notarainni	LB	32 TKL / 1 TFL
Jeremiah Earby	DB	26 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Braxton Fely	DL	12 TKL / 2 TFL / 3.5 SACK

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jack Layne	QB	1,162 YDS (69.5%) / 7 TD / 6 INT 6 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 1.2 RUSH YPG
Damon Bankston	RB	289 YDS / 3 TD / 57.8 YPG / 6.7 YPC 12 REC / 148 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 29.6 REC YPG
Scottre Humphrey	RB	273 YDS / 4 TD / 54.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 2 REC / 16 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 8 REC YPG
Dorian Thomas	TE	28 REC / 287 YDS / 3 TD / 57.4 YPG
Jaxton Eck	LB	36 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	18 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Caleb Coleman	DB	19 TKL / 0 TFL
David Murphy	DB	14 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD