UConn vs. Illinois Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

Updated Mar. 30, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

An Elite Eight battle features the No. 1 seed UConn Huskies (34-3) playing against the No. 3 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (29-8) on Saturday at TD Garden. This NCAA Tournament contest starts at 6:09 PM ET.

The Huskies are an 8.5-point favorite against the Fighting Illini when the Huskies and the Fighting Illini meet. The over/under for the game is 155.

Keep scrolling to get everything you need to know before betting on the UConn-Illinois contest.

UConn vs. Illinois Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 6:09 PM ET
Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Huskies vs Fighting Illini Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Huskies	-8.5	-105	-115	155	-110	-110	-440	+340

UConn vs. Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (+8.5)
Pick OU: Under (155)
Prediction: UConn 78, Illinois 74

Learn more about the UConn Huskies vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini game on FOX Sports!

UConn vs. Illinois Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Huskies 82, Fighting Illini 73.
The Huskies have an 81.5% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Fighting Illini have a 22.7% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

UConn has compiled a 24-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
Illinois has covered 19 times in 34 chances against the spread this season.
UConn has covered the spread 15 times this season (15-8 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
Illinois has won its only game this season when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

Eight times so far this year, the Huskies and their opponent have combined for more than 155 points.
Fighting Illini games have gone over 155 points on 18 occasions this year.
The total for this matchup is 155 points, 10.8 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

UConn has won 27 of 28 games when favored on the moneyline this season (96.4%).
This season, Illinois has won three out of the six games in which it has been the underdog.
UConn has won all 17 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -440 or shorter.
Illinois has played as an underdog of +340 or more once this season and lost that game.

UConn vs. Illinois: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	UConn	Illinois
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.6 (21)	84.2 (9)
Points Allowed (Rank)	63.6 (10)	73.2 (223)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.3 (52)	11.2 (20)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.7 (56)	8.4 (79)
Assists (Rank)	18.6 (3)	13.5 (142)
Turnovers (Rank)	9 (16)	10.2 (84)

UConn 2023-24 Key Players

Huskies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tristen Newton	37	15.3	6.8	6.1	1	0.3	1.8
Cam Spencer	37	14.5	4.5	3.6	1.5	0.2	2.5
Alex Karaban	36	13.6	5	1.4	0.9	0.8	2.1
Donovan Clingan	32	12.6	7.4	1.6	0.5	2.4	0.1
Stephon Castle	31	10.9	4.6	2.9	0.8	0.5	0.5

Illinois 2023-24 Key Players

Fighting Illini Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Terrence Shannon Jr.	31	23.5	4.1	2.3	1.1	0.9	2.5
Marcus Domask	37	15.8	5.1	4	0.3	0.4	1.1
Coleman Hawkins	34	12.3	6.1	2.8	1.5	1.1	1.7
Quincy Guerrier	37	9.6	6.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	1.1
Dain Dainja	37	6.3	3.7	0.2	0.2	0.5	0