Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 28, 2025 3:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 3-seed Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) are ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) on Friday at 7:39 p.m. ET as the NCAA Tournament continues at Lucas Oil Stadium airing on TBS.

The Volunteers hit the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Wildcats. The game features an over/under of 144.5.

Continue scrolling to get all you need to know ahead of placing bets on the Tennessee-Kentucky clash.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 28, 2025 at 7:39 p.m. ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
How to watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Volunteers vs Wildcats Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Volunteers	-4.5	-110	-110	144.5	-112	-108	-205	+170

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction

Pick ATS: Kentucky (+4.5)
Pick OU: Over (144.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 76, Kentucky 73

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Kentucky Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Volunteers 74, Wildcats 70.
The Volunteers have a 67.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Wildcats have a 37.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Tennessee is 18-17-0 ATS this season.
Kentucky has compiled an 18-15-1 ATS record so far this season.
Tennessee has covered the spread 12 times this season (12-13 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
Kentucky has an ATS record of 6-4 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year.

Key Total Facts

A total of 12 times so far this season, the Volunteers and their opponent have combined to score more than 144.5 points.
Wildcats games have had over 144.5 points 27 times this year.
These teams score 159.6 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 15.1.

Key Moneyline Facts

Tennessee has gone 23-4 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 85.2%).
Kentucky has been underdogs in 12 games this season and won seven (58.3%) of those contests.
Tennessee has gone 19-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter (winning 90.5%).
Kentucky has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +170 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: Recent Results

Volunteers vs Wildcats Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/11/2025	Volunteers	-2.5	147.5	-155	+130	75-64 UK
1/28/2025	Volunteers	-11	146.5	-575	+425	78-73 UK
3/9/2024	Volunteers	-8	167	-380	+300	85-81 UK
2/3/2024	Wildcats	-1.5	158.5	-130	+110	103-92 TENN

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Kentucky
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	74.6 (151)	85 (6)
Points Allowed (Rank)	62.9 (8)	77.2 (315)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.7 (111)	8.5 (208)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.4 (101)	9.6 (36)
Assists (Rank)	15.5 (61)	17.1 (14)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.6 (40)	10.3 (98)

Tennessee 2024-25 Key Players

Volunteers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Chaz Lanier	36	18.1	3.8	1.1	0.9	0.1	3.3
Zakai Zeigler	35	13.7	3	7.4	2	0.3	1.7
Jordan Gainey	36	11.3	3.3	1.9	1.1	0.4	1.3
Igor Milicic Jr.	35	9.7	6.8	2	0.7	0.7	1.1
Felix Okpara	36	7.2	6.2	0.3	0.3	1.7	0

Kentucky 2024-25 Key Players

Wildcats Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Otega Oweh	35	16.3	4.7	1.7	1.6	0.5	0.8
Jaxson Robinson	24	13	3.5	1.7	0.6	0.5	2.6
Koby Brea	35	11.8	3.2	1.3	0.5	0.3	2.6
Lamont Butler	26	11.1	2.7	4.3	1.6	0.2	0.9
Amari Williams	35	10.8	8.6	3.2	0.5	1.3	0