Auburn vs. Alabama State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 20, 2025 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The top-seeded Auburn Tigers (28-5) play the No. 16 Alabama State Hornets (20-15) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, starting at 2:50 p.m. ET.

The Tigers are an immense favorite against the Hornets when the Tigers and the Hornets meet. The Tigers are favored by 31.5 points. The matchup features a point total of 149.5.

Keep reading to get all the information ahead of placing bets on the Auburn-Alabama State contest.

Auburn vs. Alabama State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 2:50 p.m. ET
Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
How to watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tigers vs Hornets Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tigers	-31.5	-120	-110	149.5	-112	-108	-7692	+2200

Auburn vs. Alabama State Prediction

Pick ATS: Alabama State (+31.5)
Pick OU: Under (149.5)
Prediction: Auburn 89, Alabama State 60

Learn more about the Auburn Tigers vs. the Alabama State Hornets game on FOX Sports!

Auburn vs. Alabama State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 90, Hornets 59.
The Tigers have a 98.7% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Hornets hold a 4.3% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Auburn has put together an 18-15-0 record against the spread this season.
Alabama State has put together a 15-18-0 record against the spread this season.
Auburn has covered the spread once when favored by 31.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).

Key Total Facts

A total of 21 times so far this year, the Tigers and their opponent have combined to score more than 149.5 points.
Hornets games have had over 149.5 points nine times this year.
The Tigers and Hornets average 157.1 points per game combined, which is 7.6 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

Auburn has won 86.2% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (25-4).
Alabama State has entered the game as underdogs 13 times this season and won four, or 30.8%, of those games.
Auburn has played as a moneyline favorite of -7692 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
Alabama State has played as an underdog of +2200 or more twice this season and lost both games.

Alabama State Hornets

ALST

Auburn Tigers

AUB

Auburn vs. Alabama State: Recent Results

Tigers vs Hornets Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
12/22/2023	Tigers	-30.5	150	-	-	82-62 AUBRN

Auburn vs. Alabama State: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Auburn	Alabama State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	83.8 (10)	73.3 (195)
Points Allowed (Rank)	69.6 (98)	72.1 (186)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.2 (68)	9.6 (122)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.2 (55)	9.0 (61)
Assists (Rank)	16.5 (26)	11.8 (300)
Turnovers (Rank)	8.9 (9)	8.6 (6)

Auburn 2024-25 Key Players

Tigers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Johni Broome	31	18.9	10.6	3.1	0.9	2.3	0.7
Chad Baker-Mazara	33	12.6	3.2	2.7	1.2	0.6	1.5
Miles Kelly	33	11.5	3.7	1.1	1.1	0.4	2.3
Tahaad Pettiford	33	11.0	2.1	2.9	0.9	0.2	1.9
Denver Jones	32	10.7	2.0	2.5	0.6	0.2	1.8

Alabama State 2024-25 Key Players

Hornets Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Amarr Knox	35	14.4	1.9	2.4	1.7	0.0	1.1
CJ Hines	34	14.3	3.0	2.5	1.1	0.1	2.1
Antonio Madlock	33	12.6	7.2	2.6	1.0	0.3	0.6
Micah Simpsom	35	6.7	1.6	1.2	0.7	0.1	1.5
Jasteven Walker	35	5.3	3.5	0.4	0.4	0.8	0.6