2027 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds: Arch Manning Favored; Jeremiah Smith Climbs

For the fourth consecutive year, eighth time in nine years and 10th time in 12 years, a quarterback went No. 1 in the NFL Draft — Fernando Mendoza to the Las Vegas Raiders.

Will a team make it five years in a row in 2027? Let's check out the odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as of Sept. 30. 

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Arch Manning: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
CJ Carr: +420 (bet $10 to win $52 total)
Jeremiah Smith: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Dante Moore: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Drew Mestemaker: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Trinidad Chambliss: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Darian Mensah: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Colin Simmons: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Jayden Maiava: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total)

Here's what to know about the oddsboard:

Arch Manning is the +165 favorite to be the 2027 No. 1 overall pick (David Buono/Getty Images)

Man(ning) of the Hour: Archie Manning went second in the 1971 NFL Draft. His son, Peyton, went first in the 1998 NFL Draft. Then his other son, Eli, went first in the 2004 NFL Draft. Will his grandson, Arch, be the next Manning to hear his name called at the top of the draft? The early odds say yes. Arch served as a collegiate starter for the first time last season, leading the charge at Texas. He completed 61.4% of his passes, for 3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns and seven interceptions. 

However, as the season went on, Arch began to find his rhythm. He threw five interceptions in the Longhorns' first five games, but threw just two in their final eight contests. He also threw 15 TDs in those final eight games, in which Texas went 7-1. In Texas' bowl game win over Michigan, he threw for 221 yards and two touchdowns. 

Through four games this season, Manning has thrown for 862 yards and seven touchdowns while completing 63.5% of his passes. He has also led Texas to two marquee wins: a dramatic comeback over Ohio State in Week 2 and a statement road victory over Tennessee in Week 4.

With several big tests ahead and a potential deep playoff run, Manning will have plenty of opportunities to shape his draft stock in the weeks to come. 

Jeremiah Smith is now the all-time leading receiver in Ohio State history (Alex Slitz/Getty Images).

A Wideout At No. 1?: Could Jeremiah Smith be the first pick in the draft? He’s third on the oddsboard at +500 after a historic Week 4 performance against Illinois that strengthened his case as college football’s best player.

Smith finished with 12 catches for 217 yards and four touchdowns, setting career highs in all three categories. He became the fourth Big Ten receiver since 2000 to record 200+ receiving yards and four touchdown catches in a game. He also tied Ohio State’s single-game record for receiving touchdowns, becoming the fifth Buckeye to catch four.

Can a receiver with that résumé climb all the way to No. 1?