Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Burnley FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 3
Brighton & Hove Albion (14th) and Burnley FC (19th) are both in the bottom half of the table, and they square off in the Premier League on Saturday. For our prediction on this matchup, continue reading.
Brighton has scored 28 goals in 19 games this season (eighth in Premier League), and Burnley has conceded 37 goals in 19 matches (18th in league). With 20 goals in 19 matches, Burnley is 16th in the Premier League. On the flip side, Brighton has conceded 27 goals in 19 matches, 12th in the league. Brighton has outscored opponents 28-27, and its +1 goal differential is 11th in the Premier League. With 20 goals scored and 37 allowed, Burnley is 18th in the Premier League in goal differential.
Brighton ended up with a draw in its last game, 2-2, against West Ham United away from home on December 30. Brighton fell short despite outshooting their opponents 17 to nine. Brighton was led by Joel Veltman and Danny Welbeck, who netted their club's two goals against West Ham. Burnley suffered a 3-1 home loss to Newcastle United in its most recent match on December 30, and was outshot 19 to 15. Josh Laurent's goal was Burnley's only in the match.
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Brighton vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton -218 | Burnley +588 | 2.5 | -145 | +112 |
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Brighton vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Brighton -218
- Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Brighton 2, Burnley 1
Brighton vs. Burnley Match Info
- Match Day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Match Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Location: Brighton, England
- Stadium: American Express Community Stadium
- TV: USA Network
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Brighton's Moneyline Performance
- Brighton has been favored in 11 matches this season, and won three.
- Brighton has not been a -218 favorite or greater this season.
- Brighton has a 68.6% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.
Brighton's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Welbeck | 17 | 8 | 0 | 20 | 10 |
| Georginio Rutter | 17 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 |
| Yankuba Minteh | 19 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 |
| Mats Wieffer | 16 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| Jan Paul Van Hecke | 18 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
Brighton's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 12/30/2025 | A | D | 2-2 | 17 | 9 |
| Arsenal | 12/27/2025 | A | L | 2-1 | 3 | 13 |
| Sunderland AFC | 12/20/2025 | H | D | 0-0 | 16 | 12 |
| Liverpool | 12/13/2025 | A | L | 2-0 | 14 | 18 |
| West Ham | 12/7/2025 | H | D | 1-1 | 23 | 14 |
Burnley's Moneyline Performance
- Burnley has been an underdog in 18 matches this season, and won twice.
- This season Burnley (+588) has been at least this big an underdog in five games, and won none.
- Burnley's chances of winning this match are 14.5%, according to the moneyline.
Burnley's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zian Flemming | 18 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 3 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 18 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 14 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 18 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 |
| Joshua Cullen | 18 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| Quilindschy Hartman | 15 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
Burnley's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 12/30/2025 | H | L | 3-1 | 15 | 19 |
| Everton | 12/27/2025 | H | D | 0-0 | 15 | 16 |
| Bournemouth | 12/20/2025 | A | D | 1-1 | 3 | 14 |
| Fulham | 12/13/2025 | H | L | 3-2 | 15 | 6 |
| Newcastle | 12/6/2025 | A | L | 2-1 | 11 | 18 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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