Steelers vs. Browns 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 12

The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) and Cleveland Browns (1-4) will face off in a battle of two division rivals. The Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6). The expected point total for the game is 38.5.

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Steelers vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Steelers (-6)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38.5)
  
• Prediction: Steelers 30 - Browns 14

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland

• Game date: Sunday, October 12, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Steelers vs. Browns Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head bouts, Pittsburgh has won against Cleveland three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has racked up 110 points against Cleveland, while giving up only 87 points.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh has two wins versus the spread in four games this season.
• Pittsburgh has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 75% of its contests this year (three times in four games with a set point total).
• The Steelers have a 2-1 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
• The Steelers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 74.4%.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Aaron Rodgers has 786 passing yards, eight touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He has completed 68.5% of his passes, averaging 196.5 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• D.K. Metcalf's 261 receiving yards this season have come from 22 targets and 15 receptions. He's averaging 65.3 receiving yards and 3.8 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns.
• Kenneth Gainwell's output on the ground this season includes 154 yards and three TDs. He is averaging 38.5 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (19th in the NFL).
• Gainwell has gotten 16 targets in the passing game and has 13 catches (3.3 per game) for 65 yards (16.3 per game) and zero TDs.
• Jaylen Warren has rushed for 132 yards without a TD on the ground (44 yards per game through three games).
• Warren has been targeted 12 times to the tune of 11 receptions, 142 yards and one TD.

Defense

• On defense for the Steelers, T.J. Watt has put up 19 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 2025.
• Payton Wilson has 33 tackles, four TFL, and one sack this season.
• This season, Patrick Queen has recorded one sack (fourth on the Steelers) to go with five TFL and 35 tackles.
• Nick Herbig has one interception while tacking on 10 tackles, four TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland has covered the spread two times this season (2-3-0).
• This year, the Browns have just one against-the-spread win in three games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
• This season, Cleveland games have hit the over twice.
• The Browns have won one of the five games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 29.9% chance of a victory for the Browns.

Browns Stats

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• This year in four games, Quinshon Judkins has racked up 347 rushing yards (leading the Browns and ninth in the NFL) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 86.8 yards per game and 4.8 per carry (14th in the NFL).
• Judkins' contributions include nine receptions (2.3 per game) on 11 targets for 62 yards (15.5 per game), but he has not found the endzone in the passing game.
• David Njoku has put together a 2025 stat sheet that includes 20 catches for 195 yards and one receiving touchdown in five games played. He has been on the receiving end of 30 targets and is averaging four receptions per game.
• This season, Harold Fannin has caught 21 passes for 173 receiving yards with one touchdown in the passing game. He has been targeted 28 total times and is averaging 4.2 receptions per game over five games played.
• Dillon Gabriel has 209 passing yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. His completion percentage is 59.5% and he averages 69.7 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.

Defense

• So far in 2025, Myles Garrett has 21 tackles, eight TFL, and four sacks over five games.
• Devin Bush Jr. has one sack in addition to his three TFL and 35 tackles through five games.
• Tyson Campbell has one TFL and 34 tackles.
• Carson Schwesinger has 40 tackles, two TFL, and one sack.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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