Lions vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

The Detroit Lions (1-1) are considered favorites (-3.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Atlanta Falcons (2-0) on September 24, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the game is 46.5.

Lions vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Detroit (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (46.5)
  
• Prediction: Detroit 27 - Atlanta 21

How to Watch Detroit vs. Atlanta

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Ford Field
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• Atlanta holds a 4-1 record against Detroit in their last five matchups.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has racked up 139 points, while Detroit has accumulated 103.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit went 12-4-1 ATS last season.
• The Lions did not lose ATS (1-0) as a 3.5-point favorite or more last year.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Detroit games.
• The Lions finished 3-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 60% of those games).
• Detroit played as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter in only two games last season, and it split them 1-1.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Lions a 63.6% chance to win.

Lions Stats (2022)

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff threw for 4,438 yards last year (to rank sixth in the NFL), with 29 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and seven interceptions. He completed 65.1% of his attempts while averaging 261.1 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown had 1,161 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 106 receptions (seventh in the NFL), while being targeted 146 times.
• David Montgomery averaged 50.1 rushing yards per game for the Bears last season (801 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• In addition to his ground game, Montgomery hauled in 34 passes (on 40 targets) for 316 yards with one receiving touchdown. He averaged 19.8 yards per game.
• Marvin Jones Jr. had 529 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 46 receptions on 81 targets for the Jaguars.

Defense

• Alex Anzalone intercepted one pass to go with125 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2022.
• Aidan Hutchinson registered 9.5 sacks in addition to his 9.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and three interceptions in 16 games.
• Kerby Joseph had 74 tackles and four interceptions in the 2022 season.
• Malcolm Rodriguez had 1.0 sack as well as 8.0 TFL and 83 tackles.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta put together a 9-8-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Falcons went 5-3 as underdogs of 3.5 points or more last year.
• Atlanta games went over the point total seven out of 17 times last year.
• The Falcons were underdogs in 12 games last season and won three (25%) of those contests.
• Last season, Atlanta won one of its eight games when it was the underdog by at least +145 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Falcons.

Falcons Stats (2022)

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Tyler Allgeier averaged 64.7 yards rushing last season (1,035 total yards) while scoring three rushing TDs.
• Allgeier also was a piece of the pass attack with 139 receiving yards (8.7 per game) on 16 receptions (1.0 per game), targeted 17 times. He had one receiving TD.
• Cordarrelle Patterson averaged 53.5 rushing yards in 13 games (695 total yards), and scored eight rushing TDs.
• In nine games for the Commanders last year, Taylor Heinicke totaled 1,859 yards passing, while throwing 12 TDs and six INTs, connecting on 62.2% of his passes.
• Heinicke also ran for one TD and 96 yards.
• Drake London had 866 yards receiving and four TDs via 72 catches on 117 targets.

Defense

• Richie Grant amassed 3.0 TFL, 122 tackles, and two interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
• Kaden Elliss totaled 7.0 sacks to go along with his 7.0 TFL and 74 tackles in 16 games for the Saints.
• Grady Jarrett had 6.0 sacks and 12.0 TFL and 61 tackles during the 2022 season.
• Jaylinn Hawkins picked off two passes in addition to 82 tackles and six passes defended.