Commanders vs. Vikings 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 7

Commanders vs. Vikings 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 7

Updated Dec. 7, 2025 12:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In a matchup featuring two squads coming off losses, the Washington Commanders (3-9) will play the Minnesota Vikings (4-8). The Commanders have dropped seven in a row, the Vikings four in a row. Washington is a slight favorite (-1.5). The total for this one is set at 44.5 points.

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Commanders vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Vikings Betting Information updated as of December 7, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Washington -1.5 -105 -127 44.5 -106 -125

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Commanders vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Vikings (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  • Prediction: Vikings 24 - Commanders 21

How to Watch Washington vs. Minnesota

Commanders vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

  • In their past three head-to-head matchups, Minnesota has defeated Washington three times.
  • Over their last three head-to-head matchups, Minnesota has put up 77 points, while Washington has posted 56.

Washington Betting Info

  • In 12 Washington games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread twice when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • Washington contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time (six times in 12 games with a set point total).
  • The Commanders have won 66.7% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (2-1).
  • The Commanders have a 53.5% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 198.7 (2,384) 22
Rush yards 138.9 (1,667) 3
Points scored 21.8 (262) 23
Pass yards against 254.9 (3,059) 30
Rush yards against 133.3 (1,600) 27
Points allowed 26.9 (323) 28

Washington's Key Players

Offense

  • Jayden Daniels has 1,184 passing yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions this year. He has completed 62.5% of his attempts, averaging 197.3 yards per game and 7 per attempt.
  • He has also rushed for 262 yards (third on the Commanders) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 43.7 rushing yards per game.
  • Marcus Mariota has passed for 1,359 yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 194.1 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 63.2%.
  • He's rushed for 248 yards (fourth on the Commanders) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 35.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Through 11 games played, Deebo Samuel is averaging 48.5 yards and 5.3 receptions per game to total 534 receiving yards and 58 catches. He's been targeted 75 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt has rushed for 518 yards with four touchdowns (43.2 yards per game through 12 games).

Defense

  • On defense, Bobby Wagner has two interceptions to go with 115 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended in 2025.
  • Frankie Luvu has 62 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended.
  • This season, Jeremy Reaves has put up one sack to go with four TFL and 63 tackles.
  • Quan Martin has one TFL and 77 tackles on the year.

Minnesota Betting Info

  • Minnesota is 4-8-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Vikings have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 1.5 points or more (in six chances).
  • This year, Minnesota games have hit the over seven times.
  • The Vikings have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won once.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Vikings have a 51.2% chance to win.

Vikings Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 173.2 (2,078) 29
Rush yards 99.4 (1,193) 25
Points scored 18.7 (224) 28
Pass yards against 178.4 (2,141) 5
Rush yards against 128.4 (1,541) 23
Points allowed 23.4 (281) 17

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

  • Justin Jefferson has put up 799 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 62 receptions, while being targeted 105 times this season.
  • Jordan Mason has 578 rushing yards (leading the Vikings) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 48.2 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
  • Through six games this season, J.J. McCarthy has totaled 929 passing yards, while throwing six touchdowns against 10 interceptions and completing 54.1% of his attempts.
  • He's added 120 yards on the ground (third on the Vikings), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 20 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
  • Jordan Addison has 33 catches for 448 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.7 yards per game through nine games and has been targeted 63 times.

Defense

  • Eric Wilson's 2025 effort includes 78 tackles, 14 TFL, and 4.5 sacks through 12 games. He is second on the Vikings in tackles.
  • Dallas Turner has totaled 5.5 sacks in addition to his eight TFL and 42 tackles through 12 games.
  • Josh Metellus has recorded 0.5 sacks as well as one TFL, 75 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2025 season.
  • Jalen Redmond has put up four sacks (third on the Vikings) to go with eight TFL and 43 tackles over 12 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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