Broncos vs. Chiefs 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

The Denver Broncos (12-3) are big favorites (-13.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9). The Chiefs have dropped four games in a row. The predicted point total for the game is 36.5.

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chiefs (+13.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (36.5)
  
• Prediction: Broncos 23 - Chiefs 20

How to Watch Denver vs. Kansas City

• Game date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Denver has collected three wins against Kansas City.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has put up 106 points, while Kansas City has compiled 63.

Denver Betting Info

• Against the spread, Denver is 6-9-0 this season.
• Denver has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 46.7% of its contests this year (seven times over 15 games with a set point total).
• The Broncos have won 80% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (8-2).
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 91.3%.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Bo Nix has passed for 3,608 yards (sixth in the NFL), 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He is averaging 240.5 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt, while completing 63.2% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 265 yards (third on the Broncos) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 17.7 rushing yards per game.
• RJ Harvey averages 4.0 yards per carry (37th in the NFL) and 31.3 yards per game, and has 469 total rushing yards. He has scored seven rushing TDs this season.
• Harvey's 48 targets through the air have resulted in 41 catches (2.7 per game) for 318 yards (21.2 per game) and four touchdowns.
• Courtland Sutton has seven touchdown catches this season, and has 69 receptions for 972 yards on 112 targets, while averaging 4.6 catches and 64.8 yards per game.
• Troy Franklin has 692 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 61 catches on 99 targets. He's averaging 4.1 receptions and 46.1 yards per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Nik Bonitto has 12.5 sacks (fifth in the NFL) to go with 13.0 TFL and 43 tackles in 2025.
• Talanoa Hufanga has 101 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
• This season, Alex Singleton has recorded 1.0 sack in addition to his 3.0 TFL and 124 tackles.
• Zach Allen has 6.5 sacks (fourth on the Broncos) to go with his 3.0 TFL and 35 tackles on the season.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has covered the spread five times in 15 games with a set total.
• Kansas City's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year.
• The Chiefs have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 12.9% chance of a victory for the Chiefs.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Kareem Hunt averages 37.3 rushing yards per game this year (559 total yards), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
• Hunt's contributions include 15 receptions (1.0 per game) on 21 targets for 122 yards (8.1 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Travis Kelce has put together a 2025 campaign that includes 68 catches for 803 yards and five receiving touchdowns through 15 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 96 targets and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game.
• In eight games played this season, Rashee Rice has 53 catches (6.6 receptions per game on 9.8 targets per game) for 571 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
• Marquise Brown has 45 catches for 516 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.2 yards per game through 14 games and has been targeted 65 times.

Defense

• Nick Bolton has 133 tackles, 9.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended in 2025.
• Chamarri Conner has totaled 2.0 sacks in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 93 tackles over 15 games.
• In the 2025 season, Drue Tranquill has 89 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and two sacks in 15 games.
• George Karlaftis III has 6.0 sacks (first on the Chiefs) as well as 10.0 TFL and 45 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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