Broncos vs. Chiefs 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) will be attempting to snap a four-game losing run against the Denver Broncos (12-3). The Broncos are big favorites (-13.5). The game has an over/under of 38.5 points.

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chiefs (+13.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38.5)
  
• Prediction: Broncos 23 - Chiefs 20

How to Watch Denver vs. Kansas City

• Game date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Denver has totaled three wins against Kansas City.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Denver has scored 106 points, while Kansas City has posted 63.

Denver Betting Info

• Against the spread, Denver is 6-9-0 this year.
• Denver contests this year have gone over the point total 46.7% of the time (seven times in 15 games with a set point total).
• The Broncos have an 8-2 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 80% of those games).
• The Broncos have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 91.7%.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Bo Nix ranks sixth in the NFL with 3,608 passing yards through 15 games this year, averaging 240.5 per game with a 63.2% completion percentage and 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) against 10 interceptions.
• He has added 265 rushing yards (17.7 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
• RJ Harvey has racked up 469 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (31.3 yards per game through 15 games). His 4.0 yards per attempt rank 36th in the NFL.
• He's hauled in 41 passes (on 48 targets) for 318 receiving yards with four touchdowns. He's averaging 21.2 receiving yards and 2.7 catches per game.
• Courtland Sutton has seven touchdown catches this season, and has 69 catches for 972 yards on 112 targets, while averaging 4.6 catches and 64.8 yards per game.
• Troy Franklin has put up 692 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 61 catches on 99 targets. He is averaging 4.1 receptions and 46.1 yards per game.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Nik Bonitto has 43 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks in 2025.
• Talanoa Hufanga has 101 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
• Alex Singleton has put up 124 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
• So far this season, Zach Allen has 35 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has put together a 5-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• This season, Kansas City games have hit the over four times.
• The Chiefs have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The Chiefs have a 12.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Kareem Hunt has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has accumulated 559 total rushing yards (37.3 per game and 3.7 per attempt).
• On top of his rushing statistics, Hunt has caught 15 pass (on 21 targets) for 122 yards (ninth on the Chiefs), with one receiving touchdown. He's averaging 8.1 yards per game.
• Travis Kelce has put together a 2025 campaign that includes 68 catches for 803 yards and five receiving touchdowns through 15 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 96 targets and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game.
• In 14 games played this season, Marquise Brown has 45 catches (3.2 receptions per game on 4.6 targets per game) for 516 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
• Xavier Worthy has been targeted 70 times, resulting in 42 catches for 532 yards .

Defense

• Nick Bolton's 2025 showing includes 133 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and one sack through 15 games. He leads the Chiefs and is eighth in the NFL in tackles.
• Chamarri Conner has 2.0 sacks (fourth on the Chiefs) to go with 4.0 TFL and 93 tackles.
• Drue Tranquill has 89 tackles, 9.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended during the 2025 campaign.
• George Karlaftis III has 6.0 sacks (first on the Chiefs) to go with 10.0 TFL and 45 tackles over 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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