Bills vs. Jets 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 14

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Buffalo Bills (1-0) will face off against the New York Jets (0-1). The Bills are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the game is 47.5.

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Bills vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Bills (-6.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (47.5)
  
• Prediction: Bills 31 - Jets 17

How to Watch Buffalo vs. New York

• Game date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• Buffalo owns a 4-1 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has tallied 131 points versus New York, while giving up only 74 points.

Buffalo Betting Info

• Buffalo put together a 10-7-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Bills had an ATS record of 3-3 as 6.5-point favorites or greater last year.
• Buffalo and its opponent combined to go over the point total in 11 of 17 contests last season.
• The Bills won 84.6% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (11-2).
• Buffalo won all five games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Bills' implied win probability is 74.4%.

Bills Stats (2024)

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

• Josh Allen threw for 3,731 yards last year, with 28 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and six interceptions. He completed 63.6% of his attempts while averaging 233.2 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
• He added 531 yards on the ground, while scoring 12 rushing touchdowns. He averaged 33.2 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
• James Cook had 1,009 rushing yards and 16 rushing touchdowns, while averaging 63.1 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt (eighth in the NFL).
• Cook also picked up 258 receiving yards (16.1 per game) on 32 catches (2.0 per game). He was targeted 38 times and caught two touchdown passes.
• In 15 games played last season, Khalil Shakir had 76 catches (5.1 receptions per game on 6.7 targets per game) for 821 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
• Ray Davis averaged 26.0 rushing yards per game over 17 games (442 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.
• Davis added 17 catches (1.0 per game) for 189 yards (11.1 per game) and three receiving touchdowns. He was on the receiving end of 19 targets.

Defense

• In 2024, Gregory Rousseau recorded 53 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and eight sacks over 16 games.
• Dorian Williams had 114 tackles and 5.0 TFL.
• Terrel Bernard had 1.0 sack as well as 5.0 TFL, 104 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2024 season.
• Damar Hamlin had 2.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and two interceptions.

New York Betting Info

• New York covered five times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• The Jets were winless ATS (0-1) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs last season.
• In New York games last season, combined scoring went over the point total 10 times.
• Last season, the Jets were listed as the underdog in six games and failed to win any of those contests.
• Last season, New York was at least a +235 underdog on the moneyline one time, losing that contest.
• The implied probability of a win by the Jets, based on the moneyline, is 29.9%.

Jets Stats (2024)

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Breece Hall averaged 54.8 yards rushing last season (876 total yards) while scoring five rushing TDs.
• Hall also was a piece of the passing game with 483 receiving yards (30.2 per game) on 57 receptions (3.6 per game), targeted 76 times. He had three receiving TDs.
• Garrett Wilson put together a 2024 campaign that included 101 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 1,104 yards and seven receiving TDs in 17 games. He was on the end of 154 targets and averaged 5.9 catches.
• For the Steelers last year, Justin Fields passed for 1,106 yards, five TDs and had one INT. He completed 65.8% of his attempts, averaging 110.6 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• Fields also rushed for five TDs and 289 yards.
• Allen Lazard had 37 receptions for 530 yards and six TDs. He averaged 3.1 yards per game in 12 games and was targeted 60 times.

Defense

• In 2024, Jamien Sherwood amassed 154 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and two sacks in 17 games.
• Quincy Williams posted 116 tackles, 14.0 TFL, and two sacks.
• Will McDonald posted 10.5 sacks in addition to his 11.0 TFL and 28 tackles.
• Brandon Stephens totaled 1.5 sacks plus 3.0 TFL and 70 tackles for the Ravens last season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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