Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 9

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 9

Updated Feb. 9, 2026 9:23 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Golden State Warriors (28-25) will try to stop a three-game home losing streak when taking on the Memphis Grizzlies (20-31) on February 9, 2026 at Chase Center. Monday's game between the Warriors and the Grizzlies sees the Warriors as a strong, 9-point favorite. A 218.5-point total is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: NBCS-BA and FDSSE
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Grizzlies Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -9 -110 -110 218.5 -112 -108 -370 +295

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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 9)
O/U Pick: Over (218.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 119 - Grizzlies 112

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

  • The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 218.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 35 of 53 games this season.
  • The Grizzlies have played in 40 games this season (78.4% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 218.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 12.4 more points per game, 230.9, than this game's over/under of 218.5 points.
  • The Warriors and the Grizzlies have seen their opponents average a combined 12.5 more points per game than the point total of 218.5 set for this matchup.
  • Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 38 games this year and has walked away with the win 22 times (57.9%) in those games.
  • Memphis has been an underdog in 34 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (26.5%) in those contests.
  • Golden State has taken its one head-to-head meeting with Memphis.
  • The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Grizzlies.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.3 points over its last 10 games, 9.8 more than the 218.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Warriors' 53 games this season, they have 24 wins against the spread.
  • Golden State has been favored by 9 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-4-1 ATS in those games.
  • Warriors games this year have hit the over 29 times in 51 opportunities (56.9%).
  • The Warriors score just 1.9 fewer points per game (115.6) than the Grizzlies allow (117.5).
  • Golden State has a 17-10-1 record against the spread and a 21-7 record overall when putting up more than 117.5 points.
  • The Warriors are shooting 46% from the field this season, 0.6 percentage points lower than the 46.6% the Grizzlies allow to opponents.
  • When playing at home, the Warriors sport a better record against the spread (13-12-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (11-16-0).
  • When playing at home, Golden State eclipses the total 57.7% of the time (15 of 26 games). It has hit the over in 51.9% of road games (14 of 27 contests).
  • The Warriors have fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 16-7, compared to going 6-9 in away games.

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.6 16
Points Allowed 113.5 10
Rebounds 42.6 23
Assists 28.7 5
Steals 10 3
Blocks 4.5 20

Warriors Leaders

  • Brandin Podziemski averages 11.9 points, 3.5 assists and 4.6 boards per contest.
  • Draymond Green puts up 8.3 points, 5.2 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest.
  • Moses Moody puts up 11.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 43.4% from the field and 40.2% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per contest.
  • Quinten Post averages 7.7 points, 3.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Will Richard averages 6.7 points, 1.4 assists and 2.4 rebounds.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Moses Moody 16.5 -125 11.4
Brandin Podziemski 15.5 +102 11.9
De'Anthony Melton 15.5 -102 11.5
Pat Spencer 13.5 -110 6
Al Horford 9.5 -112 7.4

Grizzlies Recent Trends

  • The Grizzlies have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their past 10 contests.
  • Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 14 points greater than the 218.5 total given for this matchup.
  • The Grizzlies have played 51 games, with 22 wins against the spread.
  • Memphis has an ATS record of 3-4 in its seven games when underdogs by 9 points or more this year.
  • Grizzlies games this year have hit the over on 24 of 51 set point totals (47.1%).
  • The Grizzlies average just 1.8 more points per game (115.3) than the Warriors allow their opponents to score (113.5).
  • Memphis has put together a 16-14-1 ATS record and a 15-16 overall record in games it scores more than 113.5 points.
  • The Grizzlies are shooting 45.7% from the field, 1.3% lower than the 47% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
  • This year, the Grizzlies are 11-15-0 at home against the spread (.423 winning percentage). Away, they are 11-13-1 ATS (.440).
  • Memphis' games have gone above the over/under more often at home (14 times out of 26) than away (10 of 25) this season.
  • When moneyline favorites, the Grizzlies have won a lower percentage of games at home (7-5) than on the road (4-1).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.3 17
Points Allowed 117.5 22
Rebounds 45.5 8
Assists 28.7 5
Steals 8 18
Blocks 5.1 10

Grizzlies Leaders

  • Cedric Coward generates 13.6 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game for the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies are receiving 12 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Cam Spencer this year.
  • Jaylen Wells gives the Grizzlies 12 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is averaging 8.3 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He is draining 41.2% of his shots from the floor and 31.5% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per contest.
  • Walter Clayton Jr. gives the Grizzlies 6.9 points, 2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game while posting 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Ty Jerome 13.5 +100 20
Cedric Coward 12.5 +100 13.6
Jaylen Wells 12.5 -112 12
Cam Spencer 11.5 -114 12
Scotty Pippen Jr. 10.5 -114 13

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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