Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 26

The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-19) will be looking to stop a five-game losing skid when hosting the Golden State Warriors (26-21) on January 26, 2026 at Target Center. Monday's game between the Timberwolves and the Warriors sees the Timberwolves as a strong, 8.5-point favorite. A 225.5-point total is set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, January 26, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (225.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 117 - Warriors 115

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves have played 33 games with over 225.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this season.
• This season, 30 of the Warriors' 47 games have had a combined total of more than 225.5 points scored.
• These teams average a combined 235.9 points per game, 10.4 more points than the over/under of 225.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined three more points per game, 228.5, than this game's total of 225.5 points.
• Minnesota has been victorious in 24, or 68.6%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (41.7%) in those games.
• Minnesota and Golden State have split the last two games they've played.
• The two teams are each 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• The Timberwolves have not covered for three straight games against the spread, and they were favored in all of those games.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.9 points in its last 10 games, 9.4 more than the 225.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 19 wins against the spread in 46 games this season.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by an 8.5-point margin or more 17 times and are 6-11 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 46.8% of the time (22 out of 47 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves put up 5.7 more points per game (119.2) than the Warriors allow (113.5).
• Minnesota is 17-14 against the spread and 23-8 overall when scoring more than 113.5 points.
• The Timberwolves make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47%).
• At home, the Timberwolves have a worse record against the spread (9-14-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (10-13-0).
• Minnesota has exceeded the total in seven of 23 home games (30.4%). It has fared better on the road, eclipsing the total in 15 of 23 matchups (65.2%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Timberwolves have won 14 of 20 games at home, good for a .700 winning percentage. They have won 10 of 15 games on the road (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle puts up 22.3 points, 7 boards and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 49% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• Anthony Edwards averages 29.7 points, 5.2 boards and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 41% from beyond the arc with 3.5 made 3-pointers per game (fourth in league).
• Rudy Gobert puts up 10.8 points, 11.2 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 71.5% from the field (first in NBA).
• Naz Reid posts 14.3 points, 6.3 boards and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 47% from the floor and 38.9% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.4 points, 4.2 assists and 4.6 rebounds.

Timberwolves Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 6.7 points greater than the 225.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 22-24-1 this season.
• Golden State has covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 8.5 points or more (in five chances).
• The Warriors have hit the over 57.4% of the time this season (27 of 47 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors put up just 1.7 more points per game (116.7) than the Timberwolves allow their opponents to score (115).
• Golden State has put together a 16-10-1 ATS record and a 20-7 overall record in games it scores more than 115 points.
• The Warriors' 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is .
• The Warriors' winning percentage against the spread at home is .542 (13-10-1). On the road, it is .391 (9-14-0).
• Golden State's games have finished above the over/under more often at home (14 times out of 24) than on the road (13 of 23) this year.
• As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (16-5) than on the road (5-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski is putting up 12.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. He's also sinking 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 39% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Moses Moody gets the Warriors 10.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are getting 7.9 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post this season.
• Will Richard gives the Warriors 7 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest while posting 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Buddy Hield is putting up 7.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He is making 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per game.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.