Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 20

The Dallas Mavericks (19-35) will aim to stop a four-game road slide when taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) on February 20, 2026 at Target Center. The Timberwolves square off with the Mavericks in a game that Minnesota is currently a double-digit favorite by 12.5 points. The matchup's point total is 236.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: ESPN, FDSN, KFAA, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 12.5)
O/U Pick: Under (236.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 122 - Mavericks 111

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves and their opponent have combined to score over 236.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 22 of 56 games this year.
• The Mavericks have played in 17 games this season (31.5% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 236.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 2.9 fewer points per game, 233.6, than this matchup's total of 236.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 232.2 points per game, 4.3 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• Minnesota has won 30, or 68.2%, of the 44 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Dallas has been an underdog in 37 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (29.7%) in those contests.
• In the last two head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has a 2-0 record against Dallas.
• The Timberwolves have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when playing the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks did not beat the spread in their past five games, and were favored in zero of them.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 230.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.8 less than this game's total of 236.5.
• The Timberwolves have played 56 games, with 26 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota has covered the spread twice this season when favored by 12.5 points or more (in seven chances).
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 54 opportunities (51.9%).
• The Timberwolves average only 2.3 more points per game (119.7) than the Mavericks allow (117.4).
• Minnesota has a 21-10 record against the spread and a 26-5 record overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.
• The Timberwolves make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Timberwolves have done a better job covering the spread in away games (13-14-0) than they have in home games (13-16-0).
• Minnesota has eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of games at home (34.5%) than road tilts (66.7%).
• The Timberwolves have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 17-8, compared to going 13-6 in road games.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.3 points, 5.4 assists and 7.0 boards per game.
• Anthony Edwards puts up 29.3 points, 3.7 assists and 5.2 boards per contest.
• Rudy Gobert averages 11.0 points, 11.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.6 blocks (eighth in NBA).
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 2.5 assists and 6.4 rebounds.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 12.8 points, 4.5 boards and 4.2 assists per game, shooting 41.2% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made treys per contest.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 1-9 overall over their past 10 games.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 7.0 less than the 236.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 22 wins against the spread in 54 games this season.
• Dallas has been underdogs by 12.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over 48.1% of the time (26 out of 54 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks' 113.9 points per game are only 0.9 fewer points than the 114.8 the Timberwolves allow.
• When it scores more than 114.8 points, Dallas is 11-8-1 against the spread and 12-8 overall.
• The Mavericks' 47.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.9 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have given up to their opponents (46.2%).
• This year, the Mavericks are 15-14-1 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-17-0 ATS (.292).
• Dallas' games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (15 times out of 30) than on the road (11 of 24) this year.
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .545 (6-5), and away it is .333 (2-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Naji Marshall generates 15.1 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• P.J. Washington is putting up 14.1 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He's sinking 44.7% of his shots from the floor and 30.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per contest.
• Max Christie gets the Mavericks 13.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams gets the Mavericks 12.7 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game while averaging 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Mavericks are getting 10.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Marvin Bagley III this year.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Minnesota Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks