Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 20

The Dallas Mavericks (19-35) travel to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) after losing four consecutive road games. Minnesota is a double-digit 14.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Timberwolves hit the court against the Mavericks on Friday. The matchup has a point total of 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: ESPN, FDSN, KFAA, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 14.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 122 - Mavericks 111

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• This season, the Timberwolves games have gone over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 19 (out of 56) times.
• This year, 15 of the Mavericks' 54 total matchups have gone over 239.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 233.6 points per game, 5.9 fewer points than the total of 239.5 set for this matchup.
• The Timberwolves and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 7.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set for this matchup.
• Minnesota has come away with 30 wins in the 44 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Dallas has been an underdog in 37 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (29.7%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Dallas.
• The Timberwolves also hold a 2-0 edge against the spread when squaring off against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover for five straight games against the point spread, and were favored in zero of them.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 230.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.8 less than this matchup's over/under of 239.5.
• The Timberwolves have 26 wins against the spread in 56 games this season.
• Minnesota has covered the spread once this season when favored by 14.5 points or more (in two chances).
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 28 of 54 set point totals.
• The 119.7 points per game the Timberwolves put up are just 2.3 more points than the Mavericks allow (117.4).
• Minnesota is 21-10 against the spread and 26-5 overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.
• The Timberwolves make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 13 times in 29 games when playing at home, and they've covered 13 times in 27 games when playing on the road.
• Looking at over/unders, Minnesota hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total 10 times in 29 opportunities this season (34.5%). On the road, it has hit the over 18 times in 27 opportunities (66.7%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 17-8 (.680). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 13-6 (.684).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 49.2% from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.
• Anthony Edwards posts 29.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert averages 11.0 points, 11.1 boards and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.6 blocks (eighth in league).
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 46.9% from the floor and 38.5% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo puts up 12.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.4 steals and 0.4 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 1-9 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 229.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.0 less than this game's over/under of 239.5.
• The Mavericks have 22 wins against the spread in 54 games this year.
• This year, Dallas is winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 14.5 points or more.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the total in 26 of 54 opportunities (48.1%).
• The Mavericks' 113.9 points per game are just 0.9 fewer points than the 114.8 the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• Dallas has put together an 11-8-1 ATS record and a 12-8 overall record in games it scores more than 114.8 points.
• The Mavericks have shot at a 47.1% clip from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points greater than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• This year, the Mavericks are 15-14-1 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 7-17-0 ATS (.292).
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over more frequently at home (15 of 30, 50%) than on the road (11 of 24, 45.8%).
• This season the Mavericks are 6-5 at home when moneyline favorites (.545 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-4 (.333).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 15.1 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 14.1 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Max Christie gives the Mavericks 13.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams gets the Mavericks 12.7 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game while posting 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Marvin Bagley III gets the Mavericks 10.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while averaging 0.5 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Minnesota Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks