Thunder vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 21

Thunder vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 21

Updated Nov. 21, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Two of the league's best scorers square off -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (third, 32 points per game) and Lauri Markkanen (fifth, 30.6) -- when the Oklahoma City Thunder (15-1) visit the Utah Jazz (5-9) on November 21, 2025 on KJZZ, Jazz+, and FDSOK. Friday's matchup between the Thunder and the Jazz features the Thunder as heavy 16.5-point favorites. The over/under is 233.5 points for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
  • TV: KJZZ, Jazz+, and FDSOK
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Jazz Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -16.5 -108 -112 233.5 -110 -110 -1408 +830

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Thunder vs. Jazz Prediction

ATS Pick: Jazz (+ 16.5)
O/U Pick: Over (233.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 124 - Jazz 112

Thunder vs. Jazz Betting Insights

  • The Thunder have played six games with more than 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this season.
  • Eight of the Jazz's 14 games this season have gone over 233.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average a combined 240.7 points per game, 7.2 more points than the over/under of 233.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Thunder and the Jazz have seen their opponents average a combined 2.7 fewer points per game than the point total of 233.5 set for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has been victorious in 15, or 93.8%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Utah has come away with four wins in the 12 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Oklahoma City has a 4-0 record in the last four head-to-head matchups with Utah.
  • The Thunder also hold a 3-1 edge against the spread when facing off with the Jazz.
  • The Thunder have been favored in each of their past three games, and failed to cover the spread in all three.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228 points over its last 10 games, 5.5 less than the 233.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder are 8-8-0 this season.
  • This season, Oklahoma City is winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 16.5 points or more (in three chances).
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over 57.1% of the time (eight out of 14 games with a set point total).
  • The 121.3 points per game the Thunder put up are just 3.6 fewer points than the Jazz give up (124.9).
  • When Oklahoma City scores more than 124.9 points, it is 5-3 against the spread and 8-0 overall.
  • This season, the Thunder have a 47.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.3% lower than the 48.1% of shots the Jazz's opponents have made.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have fared better at home, covering four times in seven home games, and four times in nine road games.
  • When playing at home, Oklahoma City goes over the over/under 57.1% of the time (four of seven games). It has hit the over in 44.4% of road games (four of nine contests).
  • When playing at home, the Thunder have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 7-0 (1.000). When playing on the road, they are 8-1 (.889) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 121.3 5
Points Allowed 105.9 1
Rebounds 46.5 7
Assists 25.6 20
Steals 10.7 1
Blocks 5.6 6

Thunder Leaders

  • Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.9 blocks.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 12.4 points, 3.3 assists and 11 rebounds per contest.
  • Ajay Mitchell averages 16.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.8 steals (eighth in league) and 0.3 blocks.
  • Chet Holmgren averages 20 points, 1.6 assists and 8.2 rebounds.
  • Cason Wallace puts up 8.7 points, 3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 41.7% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30.5 -122 32
Chet Holmgren 18.5 -114 20
Ajay Mitchell 15.5 -102 16.1
Isaiah Hartenstein 11.5 -122 12.4
Isaiah Joe 11.5 -130 14

Jazz Recent Trends

  • The Jazz have played 14 games, with eight wins against the spread.
  • Jazz games this season have hit the over on eight of 14 set point totals (57.1%).
  • The Jazz put up an average of 119.4 points per game, 13.5 more points than the 105.9 the Thunder give up.
  • Utah is 6-2 against the spread and 4-4 overall when it scores more than 105.9 points.
  • The Jazz's 44.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.6 percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (42.3%).
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (.857, 6-1-0 record) than away (.286, 2-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Utah's games have gone over six of seven times at home (85.7%), and two of seven away (28.6%).
  • In 2025-26 as moneyline favorites, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.000, 0-1).

Jazz Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.4 11
Points Allowed 124.9 29
Rebounds 47.2 4
Assists 29.6 5
Steals 7.9 23
Blocks 3.7 25

Jazz Leaders

  • Markkanen puts up 30.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game for the Jazz.
  • The Jazz are getting 23 points, 3.9 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game from Keyonte George this year.
  • Jusuf Nurkic gives the Jazz 7.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest while posting 1.8 steals (eighth in NBA) and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Kyle Filipowski gives the Jazz 7.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game while delivering 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • Svi Mykhailiuk gets the Jazz 9.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Jazz Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Lauri Markkanen 24.5 -102 30.6
Keyonte George 18.5 -108 23
Ace Bailey 10.5 -118 8.7
Jusuf Nurkic 8.5 -118 7.4
Isaiah Collier 8.5 -108 10.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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