
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 26
Updated Apr. 26, 2025 3:24 p.m. ET
FOX Sports
In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Memphis Grizzlies. Saturday's matchup between the Thunder and the Grizzlies features the Thunder as colossal 15.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 223.
Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
- TV: TNT, FDSSE, and FDSOK
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -15.5 | -108 | -112 | 223 | -110 | -110 | -1099 | +700 |
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction
ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 15.5)
O/U Pick: Over (223)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Grizzlies 112
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights
- The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 223 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 52 of 82 games this year.
- A total of 70 Grizzlies games this season (out of 82) have gone over 223 total points scored.
- These teams average 242.2 points per game combined, 19.2 more than the over/under of 223.
- Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.5 more points per game (224.5) than this matchup's total of 223 points.
- Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
- Memphis has won in nine, or 30%, of the 30 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
- Oklahoma City has come out on top in each of its last seven head-to-head matchups against Memphis.
- The Thunder also have a 6-1 edge against the spread when facing off with the Grizzlies.
- The Thunder have been favored in each of their previous four contests, and covered the spread in all four.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 games.
- Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 228.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.2 greater than this game's total of 223.
- The Thunder have 53 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
- Oklahoma City has been favored by 15.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 6-3-1 ATS in those contests.
- The Thunder have gone over the point total in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times over 82 games with a set point total).
- The Thunder put up 120.5 points per game, just 3.6 more points than the 116.9 the Grizzlies give up.
- Oklahoma City is 38-12-1 against the spread and 46-5 overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
- The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.6 percentage points higher than the Grizzlies have allowed to their opponents (45.6%).
- Against the spread, the Thunder have played better at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
- Oklahoma City has eclipsed the total more often at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). On the road, it has hit the over in 20 of 40 games (50%).
- At home, the Thunder have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 35-6 (.854). On the road, they are 30-7 (.811) as a moneyline favorite.
Thunder Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 120.5 | 4 |
| Points Allowed | 107.6 | 3 |
| Rebounds | 44.8 | 11 |
| Assists | 26.9 | 12 |
| Steals | 10.3 | 1 |
| Blocks | 5.7 | 2 |
Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Jalen Williams posts 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per game.
- Isaiah Hartenstein posts 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 rebounds per contest.
- Aaron Wiggins posts 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per game.
- Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.
Thunder Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.5 | -110 | 32.7 |
| Jalen Williams | 21.5 | -120 | 21.6 |
| Chet Holmgren | 16.5 | -110 | 15.0 |
| Luguentz Dort | 9.5 | +105 | 10.1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 8.5 | -110 | 11.2 |
Grizzlies Recent Trends
- The Grizzlies are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
- Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 9.9 more than the 223 over/under in this matchup.
- The Grizzlies have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
- Grizzlies games this season have gone over the total in 46 of 82 opportunities (56.1%).
- The Grizzlies put up an average of 121.7 points per game, 14.1 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow to opponents.
- Memphis has put together a 40-31 ATS record and a 45-26 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
- The Grizzlies' 47.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.6%).
- The Grizzlies have been better against the spread away (21-20-0) than at home (20-21-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Memphis' games have gone over 21 of 41 times at home (51.2%), and 25 of 41 on the road (61%).
- The Grizzlies, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-9) than on the road (16-4) this year.
Grizzlies Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 121.7 | 2 |
| Points Allowed | 116.9 | 24 |
| Rebounds | 47.3 | 2 |
| Assists | 28.4 | 8 |
| Steals | 8.9 | 6 |
| Blocks | 5.6 | 3 |
Grizzlies Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Jaren Jackson Jr. gives the Grizzlies 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
- The Grizzlies are receiving 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game from Desmond Bane this year.
- Ja Morant gets the Grizzlies 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per contest while delivering 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- The Grizzlies are getting 9.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from Scotty Pippen Jr. this season.
- The Grizzlies are receiving 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Santi Aldama this year.
Grizzlies Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 22.5 | -125 | 22.2 |
| Desmond Bane | 19.5 | -115 | 19.2 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 14.5 | -105 | 9.9 |
| Santi Aldama | 12.5 | -110 | 12.5 |
| Luke Kennard | 9.5 | -105 | 8.9 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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