Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 24

In Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will play the Memphis Grizzlies. Thursday's game between the Thunder and the Grizzlies sees the Thunder as a solid, 9.5-point favorite. The over/under for the matchup is 229.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 24, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• TV: TNT, FDSSE, and FDSOK

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (229)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Grizzlies 112

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games so far this year, the Thunder have had 41 with over 229 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• This year, 58 of the Grizzlies' 82 total matchups have gone over 229 total points scored.
• The Thunder and Grizzlies average 13.2 more points between them than the over/under of 229 for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.5 points per game, 4.5 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (30%) in those games.
• After the last six head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 6-0 record against Memphis.
• The Thunder also have a 6-0 record against the spread when playing the Grizzlies.
• The Thunder have covered in four straight games against the spread, and they were favored in all of them.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.3 points in its last 10 games, 0.3 more than the 229 over/under in this matchup.
• The Thunder have played 82 games, with 53 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 9.5-point margin or more 40 times and are 25-12-3 ATS in those contests.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score only 3.6 more points per game (120.5) than the Grizzlies allow (116.9).
• Oklahoma City has a 38-12-1 record against the spread and a 46-5 record overall when putting up more than 116.9 points.
• The Thunder are shooting 48.2% from the field this season, 2.6 percentage points higher than the 45.6% the Grizzlies allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Thunder have performed better when playing at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In road games, it has hit the over in 20 of 40 games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.854) compared to road games (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 6.4 assists and 5 rebounds per game.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 boards per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins posts 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made treys per game.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 233.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.6 more than the 229 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 41-41-0 this season.
• Memphis has yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 9.5 points or more.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 46 of 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Grizzlies average 14.1 more points per game (121.7) than the Thunder give up (107.6).
• When it scores more than 107.6 points, Memphis is 40-31 against the spread and 45-26 overall.
• The Grizzlies are shooting 47.9% from the field, 4.3% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• This season, the Grizzlies are 20-21-0 at home against the spread (.488 winning percentage). Away, they are 21-20-0 ATS (.512).
• In terms of the over/under, Memphis' games have gone over 21 of 41 times at home (51.2%), and 25 of 41 away (61%).
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .719 (23-9), and on the road it is .800 (16-4).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. is putting up 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He's also sinking 48.8% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Desmond Bane gets the Grizzlies 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Grizzlies are getting 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game from Ja Morant this year.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 9.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from Scotty Pippen Jr. this season.
• Santi Aldama gives the Grizzlies 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.