Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 20

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder take on the Grizzlies in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a substantial favorite by 13.5 points. The point total for the game is 229.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ABC

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 13.5)
O/U Pick: Over (229)
Score Prediction: Thunder 123 - Grizzlies 110

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• Thunder games have finished over 229 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 41 times (out of 82) this year.
• This season, 58 of the Grizzlies' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 229 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 13.2 more points per game, 242.2, than this game's over/under of 229 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 fewer points per game (224.5) than this matchup's total of 229 points.
• Oklahoma City has been victorious in 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Memphis has come away with nine wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last four head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma City has a 4-0 record against Memphis.
• The Thunder have an advantage against the spread as well (4-0) when hitting the court against the Grizzlies.
• The Thunder have been favored in each of their past four contests, and covered the spread in all four.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 1.7 points more than the 229 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Thunder have 53 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 9-6-2 in its 17 games when favored by 13.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Thunder have gone over the point total in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score 120.5 points per game, only 3.6 more points than the 116.9 the Grizzlies give up.
• When Oklahoma City totals more than 116.9 points, it is 38-12-1 against the spread and 46-5 overall.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.6% higher than the 45.6% of shots the Grizzlies' opponents have hit.
• Against the spread, the Thunder have performed better when playing at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
• Oklahoma City has gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In away games, it has hit the over in 20 of 40 games (50%).
• When playing at home, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 35-6 (.854). In away games, they are 30-7 (.811) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 boards per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 12 points, 1.8 assists and 3.9 boards.
• Luguentz Dort posts 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have gone 4-6 over their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
• Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 235.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.3 more than the 229 over/under in this matchup.
• The Grizzlies have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Grizzlies games this year have hit the over on 46 of 82 set point totals (56.1%).
• The Grizzlies' 121.7 points per game are 14.1 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allow.
• Memphis has put together a 40-31 ATS record and a 45-26 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Grizzlies have shot at a 47.9% rate from the field this season, 4.3 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Grizzlies have a lower winning percentage at home (.488, 20-21-0 record) than on the road (.512, 21-20-0).
• Memphis' games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (21 times out of 41) than away (25 of 41) this year.
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .719 (23-9), and on the road it is .800 (16-4).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He's also draining 48.8% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• Desmond Bane is averaging 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. He's making 48.4% of his shots from the field and 39.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per contest.
• The Grizzlies are getting 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game from Ja Morant this year.
• Scotty Pippen Jr. gives the Grizzlies 9.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while posting 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Grizzlies are getting 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Santi Aldama this year.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Memphis Grizzlies