Suns vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 5

Suns vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 5

Updated Feb. 5, 2026 9:23 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Phoenix Suns (31-20) are home in Pacific Division play versus the Golden State Warriors (27-24) on February 5, 2026. It's the fourth matchup between these clubs this season. Thursday's game between the Suns and the Warriors sees the Suns as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is 214.5 points for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Suns-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Suns vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: PHX Arena in Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Suns vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Suns -5.5 -110 -110 214.5 -114 -106 -210 +172

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Suns vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (214.5)
Score Prediction: Suns 116 - Warriors 112

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Insights

  • Out of 51 games so far this year, the Suns have had 35 with more than 214.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
  • This season, 38 of the Warriors' 51 total matchups have gone over 214.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average 230.3 points per game combined, 15.8 more than the over/under of 214.5.
  • The Suns and the Warriors have seen their opponents average a combined 11.1 more points per game than the over/under of 214.5 set for this game.
  • Phoenix has been victorious in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Golden State has been victorious in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • In the last three head-to-head meetings, Golden State has a 2-1 record against Phoenix.
  • The Suns have a 2-0-1 record against the spread when facing the Warriors.

Suns Recent Trends

  • The Suns are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Phoenix has averaged a total of 219.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.2 greater than this matchup's over/under of 214.5.
  • The Suns are 33-16-2 against the spread this season.
  • This season, Phoenix has an ATS record of 6-2 in its eight games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
  • Suns games this year have eclipsed the over/under 22 times in 51 opportunities (43.1%).
  • The 114.1 points per game the Suns score are just 0.1 more points than the Warriors give up (114).
  • Phoenix has a 19-4-1 record against the spread and a 19-5 record overall when putting up more than 114 points.
  • The Suns make 46.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.9 percentage points lower than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47%).
  • The Suns have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 16 times in 24 opportunities at home, and they've covered 17 times in 27 opportunities in road games.
  • Phoenix has eclipsed the total in eight of 24 home games (33.3%). It has fared better in away games, eclipsing the total in 14 of 27 matchups (51.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Suns have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.769) compared to road games (.909).

Suns Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.1 22
Points Allowed 111.6 5
Rebounds 43.1 20
Assists 24.9 25
Steals 10.3 2
Blocks 4.1 26

Suns Leaders

  • Collin Gillespie averages 13.8 points, 4.7 assists and 4.1 boards per game.
  • Dillon Brooks posts 20.9 points, 3.6 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
  • Mark Williams averages 12.3 points, 8.1 boards and 1.1 assists per contest, shooting 65.9% from the field (third in NBA).
  • Royce O'Neale averages 10.2 points, 2.9 assists and 4.9 boards.
  • Jordan Goodwin puts up 8.8 points, 4.9 boards and 2.3 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1.5 steals (eighth in NBA) and 0.2 blocks.

Suns Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Dillon Brooks 22.5 -118 20.9
Grayson Allen 18.5 -125 16.9
Collin Gillespie 15.5 -102 13.8
Mark Williams 12.5 -102 12.3
Jalen Green 11.5 -114 11.6

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 17 more than the 214.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Warriors' 51 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread.
  • Golden State has been underdogs by 5.5 points or more eight times this season and has covered the spread twice.
  • Warriors games this season have hit the over 56.9% of the time (29 out of 51 games with a set point total).
  • The Warriors' 116.2 points per game are only 4.6 more points than the 111.6 the Suns allow.
  • Golden State has put together an 18-14-1 ATS record and a 22-11 overall record in games it scores more than 111.6 points.
  • The Warriors are shooting 46.1% from the field, 0.7% lower than the 46.8% the Suns' opponents have shot this season.
  • The Warriors have performed better against the spread at home (13-12-1) than away (10-15-0) this season.
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Golden State's games have finished above the over/under at home (57.7%, 15 of 26) than away (56%, 14 of 25).
  • This year the Warriors are 16-7 at home as moneyline favorites (.696 winning percentage). On the road they are 6-9 (.400).

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.2 14
Points Allowed 114 10
Rebounds 42.7 23
Assists 28.9 6
Steals 9.9 3
Blocks 4.5 21

Warriors Leaders

  • Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. He's also draining 45.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.5% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per game.
  • On a per-game basis, Draymond Green gives the Warriors 8.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • Moses Moody gets the Warriors 11.2 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while posting 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
  • Quinten Post gives the Warriors 8 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while posting 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • The Warriors are getting 6.8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Will Richard this year.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Brandin Podziemski 15.5 -125 12.1
Moses Moody 14.5 -120 11.2
Quinten Post 8.5 -104 8
Al Horford 8.5 -125 7.3
Draymond Green 8.5 -130 8.4

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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