Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17

The San Antonio Spurs (28-13) go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-15) on January 17, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSN and FDSSW. The Spurs are currently solid 6.5-point favorites over the Timberwolves. The over/under is 227.5 points for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Spurs-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
• TV: FDSN and FDSSW
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Spurs 118 - Timberwolves 115

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• This season, the Spurs games have finished over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 20 (out of 41) times.
• The Timberwolves have played in 27 games this year (64.3% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 227.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 10.1 more points per game, 237.6, than this matchup's total of 227.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, 0.5 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• San Antonio has been the favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (69.2%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has been victorious in three of the 10 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Minnesota has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against San Antonio.
• The two teams are both 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have gone 5-5 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• San Antonio and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.6 points over its last 10 games, 7.1 more than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Spurs are 21-17-3 against the spread this season.
• San Antonio has an ATS record of 4-5-1 in its 10 games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Spurs have hit the over in 38.1% of their opportunities this year (16 times in 42 games with a set point total).
• The 117.6 points per game the Spurs put up are only 3.1 more points than the Timberwolves allow (114.5).
• When San Antonio puts up more than 114.5 points, it is 15-9-2 against the spread and 22-4 overall.
• This season, the Spurs have a 47.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.2% higher than the 46.0% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have made.
• The Spurs have a better record against the spread in home games (10-7-2) than they do on the road (11-10-1).
• In home games, San Antonio exceeds the over/under 36.8% of the time (seven of 19 games). It hits the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 40.9% of games (nine of 22).
• The Spurs have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-5 (.688). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 7-3 (.700).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama posts 23.9 points, 10.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 37.7% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.
• De'Aaron Fox puts up 20.4 points, 5.8 assists and 4.2 rebounds per contest.
• Stephon Castle averages 17.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.5% from the field and 27.6% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Keldon Johnson puts up 13.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 41.3% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.3 points, 1.5 assists and 6.3 rebounds.

Spurs Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 235.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.4 more than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Timberwolves' 42 games this year, they have 18 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota has been underdogs by 6.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• Timberwolves games this season have hit the over on 20 of 42 set point totals (47.6%).
• The Timberwolves' 120.0 points per game are 7.5 more points than the 112.5 the Spurs allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 112.5 points, Minnesota is 16-13 against the spread and 23-6 overall.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 48.6% from the field, 2.7% higher than the 45.9% the Spurs' opponents have shot this season.
• The Timberwolves have the same winning percentage against the spread (.429) at home (9-12-0 record) and on the road (9-12-0) this year.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, seven of 21) than on the road (61.9%, 13 of 21).
• The Timberwolves, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (14-4) than away (10-4) this season.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle provides 22.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
• Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. He's sinking 50.0% of his shots from the field and 40.9% from 3-point range, with 3.3 treys per game (ninth in league).
• Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 11.0 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocked shots (sixth in league).
• The Timberwolves are getting 14.9 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo is putting up 13.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. He is making 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 treys per game.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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