Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17

The San Antonio Spurs (28-13) battle the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-15) on January 17, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSN and FDSSW. San Antonio is a 4.5-point favorite against Minnesota when the Spurs play the Timberwolves on Saturday. The over/under is 231.5 points for the game.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Spurs-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
• TV: FDSN and FDSSW
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Spurs 118 - Timberwolves 115

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• The Spurs have played 19 games with more than 231.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• This season, 22 of the Timberwolves' 42 games have had a combined total of more than 231.5 points scored.
• The Spurs and Timberwolves average 6.1 more points between them than the total of 231.5 for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, 4.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• San Antonio has been the favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (69.2%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has won in three of the 10 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Minnesota has taken both of its last two head-to-head meetings with San Antonio.
• Both the Spurs and the Timberwolves are 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests.
• San Antonio and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.6 points in its last 10 games, 3.1 more than the 231.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 21-17-3 this season.
• So far this season, San Antonio has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 18 times and are 8-8-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Spurs games this year have hit the over on 16 of 42 set point totals.
• The Spurs score 117.6 points per game, just 3.1 more points than the 114.5 the Timberwolves give up.
• San Antonio has a 15-9-2 record against the spread and a 22-4 record overall when putting up more than 114.5 points.
• The Spurs are shooting 47.2% from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points higher than the 46.0% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• The Spurs have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (10-7-2) than they have in road tilts (11-10-1).
• San Antonio has eclipsed the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 19 home matchups (36.8%). On the road, it has hit the over in nine of 22 games (40.9%).
• The Spurs have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-5 (.688). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 7-3 (.700).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama puts up 23.9 points, 10.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 37.7% from downtown with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• De'Aaron Fox puts up 20.4 points, 4.2 boards and 5.8 assists per contest, shooting 46.9% from the floor and 33.5% from downtown with 2.0 made treys per game.
• Stephon Castle averages 17.3 points, 5.0 boards and 6.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Keldon Johnson puts up 13.4 points, 6.3 boards and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 41.3% from downtown with 1.3 made treys per contest.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.3 points, 1.5 assists and 6.3 boards.

Spurs Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 4.4 points greater than the 231.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Timberwolves' 42 games this year, they have 18 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota is 3-2 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 20 times in 42 opportunities (47.6%).
• The Timberwolves score 7.5 more points per game (120.0) than the Spurs allow (112.5).
• Minnesota is 16-13 against the spread and 23-6 overall when it scores more than 112.5 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.6% clip from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points higher than the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have an identical winning percentage (.429) at home (9-12-0 record) and on the road (9-12-0).
• Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (seven times out of 21) than away (13 of 21) this year.
• When moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a higher percentage of games at home (14-4) than on the road (10-4).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gives the Timberwolves 22.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 28.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game from Anthony Edwards this year.
• Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 11.0 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
• Naz Reid gets the Timberwolves 14.9 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while averaging 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Donte DiVincenzo gives the Timberwolves 13.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game while posting 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.