Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 4

The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (40-11) will look to knock off their closest rival in that conference, the San Antonio Spurs (33-16), on February 4, 2026 on ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW. San Antonio is a strong 10-point favorite against Oklahoma City when the Spurs face off against the Thunder on Wednesday. The over/under is 221.5 points for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know about the Spurs-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
• TV: ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ 10)
O/U Pick: Over (221.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 116 - Spurs 113

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Insights

• Spurs games have gone over 221.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 28 times (out of 49) this season.
• The Thunder have played in 31 games this year (60.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 221.5 points.
• These teams average 237.4 points per game combined, 15.9 more than the over/under of 221.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.9 fewer points per game (219.6) than this matchup's total of 221.5 points.
• San Antonio has come away with 22 wins in the 32 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Oklahoma City has yet to play a game this season while posted as the underdog.
• San Antonio has won three of its last four head-to-head meetings with Oklahoma City.
• The Spurs have an advantage against the spread as well (3-1) when taking on the Thunder.

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• San Antonio has averaged a total of 229.5 combined points in its last 10 games, eight greater than this matchup's total of 221.5.
• The Spurs have 24 wins against the spread in 49 games this season.
• This season, San Antonio has just two ATS wins in eight games as a favorite of 10 points or more.
• Spurs games this year have gone over the point total 33.3% of the time (17 out of 51 games with a set point total).
• The 116.9 points per game the Spurs put up are 9.2 more points than the Thunder give up (107.7).
• San Antonio has a 21-15-2 record against the spread and a 30-8 record overall when scoring more than 107.7 points.
• The Spurs are shooting 47.3% from the field this season, 4.1 percentage points higher than the 43.2% the Thunder allow to opponents.
• The Spurs sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (11-10-2) than they do in away games (13-12-1).
• San Antonio has exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (34.8%) than games on the road (34.6%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Spurs have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.700) compared to road games (.667).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama puts up 24.1 points, 11 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 2.7 blocks (first in NBA).
• De'Aaron Fox averages 19.8 points, 6.2 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.
• Stephon Castle puts up 16.6 points, 7 assists and 5 boards per contest.
• Keldon Johnson averages 13.4 points, 1.4 assists and 6 boards.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.6 points, 6.1 boards and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.

Spurs Player Props

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 226.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.3 greater than this matchup's over/under of 221.5.
• In the Thunder's 51 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games this season have hit the over on 27 of 51 set point totals (52.9%).
• The Thunder's 120.5 points per game are 8.6 more points than the 111.9 the Spurs allow.
• Oklahoma City has put together a 24-14 ATS record and a 35-3 overall record in games it scores more than 111.9 points.
• The Thunder have shot at a 49% clip from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points greater than the 45.6% shooting opponents of the Spurs have averaged.
• The Thunder's winning percentage against the spread at home is .481 (13-14-0). Away, it is .500 (12-12-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Oklahoma City's games have finished over 13 of 27 times at home (48.1%), and 14 of 24 away (58.3%).
• This season the Thunder are 22-5 at home when moneyline favorites (.815 winning percentage). On the road they are 18-6 (.750).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Chet Holmgren gives the Thunder 17.7 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in league).
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.8 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. He's making 41.9% of his shots from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per game.
• Aaron Wiggins gives the Thunder 10.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest while posting 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Joe gives the Thunder 9.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Jaylin Williams gets the Thunder 5.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Thunder Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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