Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 28

The Houston Rockets (28-16) will be looking to build on a four-game home winning run when squaring off against the San Antonio Spurs (31-15) on January 28, 2026 at Toyota Center. The Rockets match up with the Spurs in a game that Houston is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. The over/under is 219.5 points for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Spurs game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Spurs Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: ESPN and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (219.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 117 - Spurs 112

Rockets vs. Spurs Betting Insights

• This season, the Rockets games have finished over 219.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 24 (out of 44) times.
• This season, 30 of the Spurs' 46 total matchups have gone over 219.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 234.1 points per game, 14.6 more points than the total of 219.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.4 more points per game, 222.9, than this matchup's total of 219.5 points.
• Houston has won 26, or 65%, of the 40 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• San Antonio has won in nine, or 60%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Houston and San Antonio have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• Both the Rockets and the Spurs are 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 222.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.3 greater than this matchup's total of 219.5.
• Against the spread, the Rockets are 21-23-0 this year.
• Houston is 15-20 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
• The Rockets have eclipsed the over/under in 43.5% of their opportunities this year (20 times in 46 games with a set point total).
• The 116.7 points per game the Rockets average are just 4.3 more points than the Spurs give up (112.4).
• Houston is 17-10 against the spread and 21-6 overall when scoring more than 112.4 points.
• The Rockets make 47.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Spurs have allowed to their opponents (45.8%).
• When playing at home, the Rockets have a worse record against the spread (8-11-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (13-12-0).
• In terms of point totals, Houston hits the over less often at home, as it has gone over the total seven times in 19 opportunities this season (36.8%). On the road, it has hit the over 13 times in 25 opportunities (52%).
• The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 16-2 (.889). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 10-12 (.455).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 26.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1 block.
• Amen Thompson averages 18.2 points, 7.7 boards and 5.4 assists per contest, shooting 51% from the floor.
• Alperen Sengun puts up 21.5 points, 9 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.8% from the floor.
• Jabari Smith Jr. posts 15.1 points, 6.9 boards and 1.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Reed Sheppard averages 12.9 points, 3.1 assists and 2.5 rebounds.

Rockets Player Props

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• San Antonio has averaged a total of 232.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 12.9 greater than this game's over/under of 219.5.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 22-21-3 this year.
• This year, San Antonio has an ATS record of 9-5 in its 14 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Spurs games this season have gone over the total in 17 of 46 opportunities (37%).
• The Spurs score 6.9 more points per game (117.4) than the Rockets allow (110.5).
• When it scores more than 110.5 points, San Antonio is 19-13-2 against the spread and 28-6 overall.
• The Spurs' 47.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is one percentage point higher than the Rockets have given up to their opponents (46.1%).
• Against the spread, the Spurs have had better results away (12-11-1) than at home (10-10-2) .
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of San Antonio's games have finished above the over/under at home (36.4%, eight of 22) compared to away (37.5%, nine of 24).
• The Spurs' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .684 (13-6), and on the road it is .727 (8-3).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama is putting up 24.2 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He's also sinking 50.6% of his shots from the floor and 37.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, De'Aaron Fox gets the Spurs 20.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Spurs are receiving 16.6 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists per game from Stephon Castle this year.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.5 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 55.5% of his shots from the floor and 39.9% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest.
• Julian Champagnie gives the Spurs 11.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Spurs Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Houston Rockets

San Antonio Spurs