Rockets vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 15

Rockets vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 15

Updated Dec. 15, 2025 9:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Denver Nuggets (18-6) will try to halt a four-game home losing streak when hosting the Houston Rockets (16-6) on December 15, 2025 at Ball Arena. Houston is a tight 1-point favorite against Denver when the Rockets hit the court against the Nuggets on Monday. The matchup's over/under is 237.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Monday, December 15, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: Peacock, ALT, and SCHN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Rockets vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Rockets -1 -110 -110 237.5 -106 -114 -110 -106

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Rockets vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 119 - Rockets 117

Rockets vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

  • Of 22 games so far this season, the Rockets have played six with more than 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
  • The Nuggets have played in 15 games this year (62.5% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 237.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 8.6 more points per game, 246.1, than this matchup's total of 237.5 points.
  • The Rockets and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 11.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 237.5 set in this matchup.
  • Houston has won 15, or 75%, of the 20 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Denver has split the two contests it has played as underdogs this season.
  • In the last one head-to-head meetings, Denver has a 1-0 record against Houston.
  • The Nuggets also have a 1-0 record against the spread when taking on the Rockets.

Rockets Recent Trends

  • The Rockets are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.8 points over its last 10 games, 9.7 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Rockets have 14 wins against the spread in 22 games this season.
  • This season, Houston has an ATS record of 12-8 in its 20 games as a favorite of 1 point or more.
  • The Rockets have eclipsed the over/under in 54.2% of their opportunities this year (13 times over 24 games with a set point total).
  • The Rockets score 120.6 points per game, just 4.7 more points than the 115.9 the Nuggets allow.
  • When Houston scores more than 115.9 points, it is 11-2 against the spread and 11-2 overall.
  • The Rockets are shooting 48.6% from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points higher than the 46.5% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered five times in 10 games at home, and they've covered nine times in 12 games on the road.
  • Houston has hit the over on the total in five of 10 home games (50%). It has done better on the road, going over the total in eight of 12 matchups (66.7%).
  • The Rockets have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 8-2, compared to going 7-3 on the road.

Rockets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.6 5
Points Allowed 110.4 2
Rebounds 48.9 1
Assists 25.4 20
Steals 9.3 6
Blocks 5.2 9

Rockets Leaders

  • Alperen Sengun puts up 23 points, 9.4 boards and 7 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 36.4% from downtown with 1 made treys per game.
  • Amen Thompson averages 17.5 points, 7.1 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field.
  • Kevin Durant puts up 24.8 points, 4.6 boards and 3.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.6 blocks.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. averages 15.4 points, 2 assists and 6.6 rebounds.
  • Reed Sheppard posts 12.9 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 47.5% from the floor and 44.4% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per game.

Rockets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Kevin Durant 24.5 -112 24.8
Alperen Sengun 20.5 -130 23
Amen Thompson 16.5 -120 17.5
Jabari Smith 15.5 -108 15.4
Reed Sheppard 10.5 +100 12.9

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.7 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Nuggets are 14-10-0 against the spread this year.
  • Denver has covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 1 point or more (in two chances).
  • Nuggets games this year have hit the over 16 times in 24 opportunities (66.7%).
  • The Nuggets average 15.1 more points per game (125.5) than the Rockets give up (110.4).
  • When it scores more than 110.4 points, Denver is 14-9 against the spread and 18-5 overall.
  • The Nuggets are shooting 51.7% from the field, 5.9% higher than the 45.8% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Nuggets have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 5-5-0 record) than away (.643, 9-5-0).
  • Denver's games have finished above the over/under more often at home (seven times out of 10) than on the road (nine of 14) this year.
  • As moneyline favorites, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of games at home (6-4) than on the road (11-1).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 125.5 1
Points Allowed 115.9 13
Rebounds 44.8 13
Assists 29.7 2
Steals 7.1 27
Blocks 3.9 28

Nuggets Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Nikola Jokic gives the Nuggets 29.5 points, 12.3 rebounds and 10.9 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • Jamal Murray is putting up 24.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists per game. He's making 50% of his shots from the floor and 44.2% from 3-point range, with 3.2 treys per contest (ninth in league).
  • Peyton Watson gets the Nuggets 10.8 points, 5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game while averaging 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocked shots.
  • Cameron Johnson is putting up 11.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is sinking 45.3% of his shots from the field and 38.5% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is putting up 12.2 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is making 46% of his shots from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per game.

Nuggets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Nikola Jokic 28.5 -104 29.5
Jamal Murray 23.5 -106 24.4
Cameron Johnson 14.5 -110 11.3
Peyton Watson 11.5 -132 10.8
Tim Hardaway Jr. 11.5 -118 12.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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