Rockets vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 25

The Houston Rockets (35-21) face the Sacramento Kings (13-46) on February 25, 2026 on SCHN and NBCS-CA. Wednesday's matchup between the Rockets and the Kings sees the Rockets as a double-digit favorite by 14 points. The matchup's over/under is 221.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: SCHN and NBCS-CA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 14)
O/U Pick: Over (221.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 123 - Kings 105

Rockets vs. Kings Betting Insights

• Of 56 games so far this season, the Rockets have played 25 with more than 221.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• This season, 41 of the Kings' 59 total matchups have gone over 221.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 3.3 more points per game, 224.8, than this matchup's total of 221.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.9 more points per game, 230.4, than this game's over/under of 221.5 points.
• Houston has come away with 32 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Sacramento has won in 10, or 18.9%, of the 53 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Sacramento holds a 2-1 record in the last three head-to-head matchups with Houston.
• The Kings also have a 2-1 edge against the spread when matched up with the Rockets.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
• Houston has averaged a total of 217.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.0 less than this matchup's over/under of 221.5.
• The Rockets have played 56 games, with 25 wins against the spread.
• Houston has been favored by 14 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
• Rockets games this year have gone over the point total 23 times in 59 opportunities (39%).
• The 114.5 points per game the Rockets put up are 6.5 fewer points than the Kings give up (121.0).
• When Houston scores more than 121.0 points, it is 10-6 against the spread and 10-6 overall.
• The Rockets make 47.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points lower than the Kings have allowed to their opponents (49.5%).
• The Rockets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 26 games when playing at home, and they've covered 16 times in 30 games when playing on the road.
• When playing at home, Houston exceeds the total 30.8% of the time (eight of 26 games). It hits the over more often in away games, topping the total in 50% of games (15 of 30).
• In home games, the Rockets have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 19-6 (.760). When playing on the road, they are 13-12 (.520) as a moneyline favorite.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant puts up 25.9 points, 4.5 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game.
• Alperen Sengun puts up 20.3 points, 9.2 boards and 6.3 assists per contest, shooting 49.6% from the floor.
• Jabari Smith Jr. posts 15.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 45.0% from the field and 37.0% from downtown with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Reed Sheppard averages 12.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Tari Eason averages 11.9 points, 1.6 assists and 6.3 rebounds.

Rockets Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 1-9 overall over their past 10 games.
• Sacramento has averaged a total of 227.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.3 greater than this game's over/under of 221.5.
• The Kings have 22 wins against the spread in 59 games this year.
• Sacramento is 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 14 points or more this year.
• Kings games this year have gone over the total in 28 of 59 opportunities (47.5%).
• The Kings' 110.3 points per game are just 0.9 more points than the 109.4 the Rockets allow to opponents.
• Sacramento has put together a 19-11-2 ATS record and a 12-20 overall record in games it scores more than 109.4 points.
• The Kings' 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Rockets have given up to their opponents (45.6%).
• This season, the Kings are 11-17-1 at home against the spread (.379 winning percentage). On the road, they are 11-18-1 ATS (.367).
• In terms of the over/under, Sacramento's games have finished over more frequently at home (14 of 29, 48.3%) than on the road (14 of 30, 46.7%).
• This year the Kings are 3-2 at home as moneyline favorites (.600 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• DeMar DeRozan is putting up 18.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He's also sinking 49.2% of his shots from the floor.
• On a per-game basis, Russell Westbrook gets the Kings 15.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.4 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Maxime Raynaud gives the Kings 10.1 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Precious Achiuwa is putting up 7.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He is sinking 51.5% of his shots from the field.
• Malik Monk gets the Kings 12.5 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest while posting 0.7 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.