Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 22

The New Orleans Pelicans (7-22) will look to extend a four-game winning streak when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (11-18) on December 22, 2025 at Smoothie King Center. Monday's matchup between the Pelicans and the Mavericks features the Pelicans as slim 1-point favorites. The matchup's point total is 240.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Pelicans-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 22, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: KFAA, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Under (240.5)
Score Prediction: Pelicans 118 - Mavericks 117

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Pelicans and their opponent have combined to score over 240.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 14 of 29 games this season.
• The Mavericks have played in seven games this year (24.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 240.5 points.
• The Pelicans and the Mavericks combine to average 12.2 fewer points per game than the total of 240.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 239.4 points per game, 1.1 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• New Orleans has won in each of the two contests it has played as odds-on favorites this season.
• Dallas has won in seven, or 35%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• New Orleans and Dallas have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• The Pelicans have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when hitting the court against the Mavericks.
• The Pelicans have covered for five games in a row against the spread, and they were the favorites in one of them.

Pelicans Recent Trends

• The Pelicans have a 9-1 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• New Orleans and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.3 points in its last 10 games, 6.2 less than the 240.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Pelicans have played 29 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
• This season, New Orleans has won ATS in each of its two games as a favorite of 1 point or more.
• Pelicans games this year have hit the over 18 times in 29 opportunities (62.1%).
• The Pelicans put up only 1.6 fewer points per game (115.3) than the Mavericks give up (116.9).
• New Orleans is 11-2 against the spread and 4-9 overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
• This season, the Pelicans have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% higher than the 45.9% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
• The Pelicans own a better record against the spread at home (12-5-0) than they do in away games (7-5-0).
• New Orleans has gone over the total in a higher percentage of home games (76.5%) than games on the road (41.7%).

Pelicans Recent Stats

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III posts 21.2 points, 6.4 boards and 3.5 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made treys per game.
• Derik Queen averages 13.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists per contest, shooting 51.4% from the field.
• Saddiq Bey posts 14.8 points, 6.1 boards and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 45.4% from the floor and 34.8% from downtown with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Jeremiah Fears posts 15.1 points, 3.4 boards and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jose Alvarado posts 8.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 37.0% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per contest.

Pelicans Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 229.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 10.6 less than this matchup's total of 240.5.
• The Mavericks have played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 1-point margin or more 20 times and are 12-8 ATS in those contests.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 51.7% of the time this year (15 of 29 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks' 113.0 points per game are 9.5 fewer points than the 122.5 the Pelicans give up.
• Dallas has put together a 3-2 ATS record and a 3-2 overall record in games it scores more than 122.5 points.
• The Mavericks' 46.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.6 percentage points lower than the Pelicans have given up to their opponents (48.9%).
• The Mavericks have been better against the spread at home (8-8-1) than away (5-7-0) this year.
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over eight of 17 times at home (47.1%), and seven of 12 on the road (58.3%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of games at home (3-4) than away (1-1).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg delivers 18.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• On a per-game basis, P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 16.0 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 13.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams is averaging 10.8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field.
• The Mavericks are receiving 11.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Max Christie this season.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.