Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 22

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 22

Updated Dec. 22, 2025 3:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New Orleans Pelicans (7-22) will look to extend a four-game winning streak when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (11-18) on December 22, 2025 at Smoothie King Center. Monday's matchup between the Pelicans and the Mavericks features the Pelicans as slim 1-point favorites. The matchup's point total is 240.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Pelicans-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Monday, December 22, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: KFAA, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Pelicans vs Mavericks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Pelicans -1 -106 -114 240.5 -110 -110 -108 -108

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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Under (240.5)
Score Prediction: Pelicans 118 - Mavericks 117

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

  • The Pelicans and their opponent have combined to score over 240.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 14 of 29 games this season.
  • The Mavericks have played in seven games this year (24.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 240.5 points.
  • The Pelicans and the Mavericks combine to average 12.2 fewer points per game than the total of 240.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 239.4 points per game, 1.1 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • New Orleans has won in each of the two contests it has played as odds-on favorites this season.
  • Dallas has won in seven, or 35%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
  • New Orleans and Dallas have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
  • The Pelicans have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when hitting the court against the Mavericks.
  • The Pelicans have covered for five games in a row against the spread, and they were the favorites in one of them.

Pelicans Recent Trends

  • The Pelicans have a 9-1 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • New Orleans and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.3 points in its last 10 games, 6.2 less than the 240.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Pelicans have played 29 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
  • This season, New Orleans has won ATS in each of its two games as a favorite of 1 point or more.
  • Pelicans games this year have hit the over 18 times in 29 opportunities (62.1%).
  • The Pelicans put up only 1.6 fewer points per game (115.3) than the Mavericks give up (116.9).
  • New Orleans is 11-2 against the spread and 4-9 overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
  • This season, the Pelicans have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% higher than the 45.9% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
  • The Pelicans own a better record against the spread at home (12-5-0) than they do in away games (7-5-0).
  • New Orleans has gone over the total in a higher percentage of home games (76.5%) than games on the road (41.7%).

Pelicans Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.3 18
Points Allowed 122.5 27
Rebounds 43.1 22
Assists 24.8 27
Steals 9.1 6
Blocks 3.7 29

Pelicans Leaders

  • Trey Murphy III posts 21.2 points, 6.4 boards and 3.5 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made treys per game.
  • Derik Queen averages 13.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists per contest, shooting 51.4% from the field.
  • Saddiq Bey posts 14.8 points, 6.1 boards and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 45.4% from the floor and 34.8% from downtown with 1.8 made treys per contest.
  • Jeremiah Fears posts 15.1 points, 3.4 boards and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Jose Alvarado posts 8.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 37.0% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per contest.

Pelicans Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Zion Williamson 19.5 -120 21.3
Trey Murphy III 18.5 -132 21.2
Jordan Poole 15.5 -118 17.3
Derik Queen 13.5 -102 13.0
Saddiq Bey 13.5 +100 14.8

Mavericks Recent Trends

  • The Mavericks are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
  • Dallas has averaged a total of 229.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 10.6 less than this matchup's total of 240.5.
  • The Mavericks have played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
  • So far this year, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 1-point margin or more 20 times and are 12-8 ATS in those contests.
  • The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 51.7% of the time this year (15 of 29 games with a set point total).
  • The Mavericks' 113.0 points per game are 9.5 fewer points than the 122.5 the Pelicans give up.
  • Dallas has put together a 3-2 ATS record and a 3-2 overall record in games it scores more than 122.5 points.
  • The Mavericks' 46.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.6 percentage points lower than the Pelicans have given up to their opponents (48.9%).
  • The Mavericks have been better against the spread at home (8-8-1) than away (5-7-0) this year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over eight of 17 times at home (47.1%), and seven of 12 on the road (58.3%).
  • When moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of games at home (3-4) than away (1-1).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 113.0 25
Points Allowed 116.9 17
Rebounds 44.4 14
Assists 24.9 25
Steals 7.9 23
Blocks 6.2 1

Mavericks Leaders

  • Cooper Flagg delivers 18.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game for the Mavericks.
  • On a per-game basis, P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 16.0 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.
  • Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 13.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • Brandon Williams is averaging 10.8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field.
  • The Mavericks are receiving 11.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Max Christie this season.

Mavericks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Anthony Davis 24.5 -118 19.9
Cooper Flagg 20.5 -130 18.8
P.J. Washington 16.5 -114 16.0
Naji Marshall 13.5 -130 13.2
Klay Thompson 10.5 -114 10.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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