Nuggets vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 11

The Denver Nuggets (17-6) will try to continue a three-game winning streak when visiting the Sacramento Kings (6-18) on December 11, 2025 at Golden 1 Center. Thursday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Kings features the Nuggets as solid 10-point favorites. A 239.5-point total is set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: NBCS-CA and ALT
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 10)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 124 - Kings 114

Nuggets vs. Kings Betting Insights

• Out of 23 games thus far this season, the Nuggets have had 14 with over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• The Kings games have gone over 239.5 total points scored in six of 24 total matchups this year.
• The two teams average a combined 3.1 fewer points per game (236.4) than this game's over/under of 239.5 points.
• The Nuggets and the Kings have seen their opponents average a combined 1.2 fewer points per game than the point total of 239.5 set in this outing.
• Denver has been the favorite in 21 games this season and has come away with the win 16 times (76.2%) in those contests.
• Sacramento has won in four, or 19%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Denver has come out on top in two of its last three head-to-head meetings with Sacramento.
• The Kings have a 2-1 record against the spread when facing the Nuggets.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.2 points in its last 10 games, 3.3 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Nuggets' 23 games this year, they have 13 wins against the spread.
• Denver has been favored by 10 points or more nine times this season and are 3-6 ATS in those games.
• Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 62.5% of the time (15 out of 24 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets average 125 points per game, just three more points than the 122 the Kings allow.
• When Denver scores more than 122 points, it is 8-7 against the spread and 11-4 overall.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 51.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.6% higher than the 49.7% of shots the Kings' opponents have hit.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have played worse when playing at home, covering five times in 10 home games, and eight times in 13 road games.
• When it comes to over/unders, Denver hits the over more consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total seven times in 10 opportunities this season (70%). On the road, it has hit the over eight times in 13 opportunities (61.5%).
• The Nuggets have performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 6-4, compared to going 10-1 away from home.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic puts up 29.2 points, 12.3 rebounds and 11 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jamal Murray averages 25 points, 4.5 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson puts up 10.3 points, 1.7 assists and 5.1 boards per contest.
• Cameron Johnson posts 11.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 12.2 points, 1.5 assists and 2 boards.

Nuggets Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Sacramento's average total over the last 10 games is 3.6 points fewer than the 239.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Kings have played 24 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• Sacramento is 4-3 ATS when underdogs by 10 points or more this season.
• Kings games this year have hit the over 10 times in 24 opportunities (41.7%).
• The Kings score just 4.9 fewer points per game (111.4) than the Nuggets allow their opponents to score (116.3).
• Sacramento is 6-3 against the spread and 5-4 overall when it scores more than 116.3 points.
• The Kings are shooting 46.6% from the field, 0.1% higher than the 46.5% the Nuggets' opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Kings are 2-8-0 at home against the spread (.200 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-7-1 ATS (.429).
• Sacramento's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of 10) than on the road (six of 14) this year.

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Russell Westbrook gives the Kings 13.9 points, 7 rebounds and 7.3 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, DeMar DeRozan gets the Kings 18 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Kings are receiving 12.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 6 assists per game from Dennis Schroder this season.
• Malik Monk is putting up 12.6 points, 2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is draining 43.8% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• Precious Achiuwa gives the Kings 7.6 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1 assists per game while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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