Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 5

The Denver Nuggets (15-6) travel to face the Atlanta Hawks (13-10) after victories in eight road games in a row. The Nuggets face the Hawks in a game that Denver is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 239.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Hawks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, December 5, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: FDSSE and ALT
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction

ATS Pick: Hawks (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 120 - Hawks 116

Nuggets vs. Hawks Betting Insights

• This season, the Nuggets games have finished over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 13 (out of 21) times.
• This season, eight of the Hawks' 23 games have had a combined total higher than 239.5 points scored.
• The Nuggets and the Hawks combine to average 2.4 more points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set for this game.
• The Nuggets and the Hawks have seen their opponents average a combined 7.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set in this outing.
• Denver has come away with 14 wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Atlanta has been an underdog in 11 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (63.6%) in those contests.
• Denver holds a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head meetings with Atlanta.
• The Nuggets also hold a 2-0 advantage against the spread when playing the Hawks.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.4 points over its last 10 games, 3.1 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets are 13-8-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 17 times and are 10-7 ATS in those games.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total 14 times in 23 opportunities (60.9%).
• The Nuggets put up 125.1 points per game, 9.4 more points than the 115.7 the Hawks give up.
• When Denver totals more than 115.7 points, it is 12-7 against the spread and 14-5 overall.
• The Nuggets make 51.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 4.8 percentage points higher than the Hawks have allowed to their opponents (46.4%).
• In home games, the Nuggets have a worse record against the spread (5-5-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (8-3-0).
• When it comes to point totals, Denver hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total seven times in 10 opportunities this season (70%). On the road, it has hit the over seven times in 11 opportunities (63.6%).
• The Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-4 (.600). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 8-1 (.889).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.7 points, 11.1 assists and 12.6 boards per game.
• Jamal Murray averages 24.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson puts up 10.4 points, 1.7 assists and 5.0 boards per contest.
• Cameron Johnson averages 11.1 points, 2.3 assists and 3.4 boards.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 11.9 points, 1.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 46.0% from the field and 41.8% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per game.

Nuggets Player Props

Hawks Recent Trends

• The Hawks have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Atlanta's average total over the last 10 games is 8.2 points fewer than the 239.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Hawks have played 23 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• Atlanta is 5-2 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• Hawks games this year have hit the over on 12 of 23 set point totals (52.2%).
• The Hawks put up an average of 116.8 points per game, only 0.8 more points than the 116.0 the Nuggets allow.
• Atlanta has put together an 8-4 ATS record and a 9-3 overall record in games it scores more than 116.0 points.
• The Hawks' 48.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have given up to their opponents (46.4%).
• Against the spread, the Hawks have had better results away (9-5-0) than at home (3-6-0) .
• Atlanta's games have gone above the over/under 44.4% of the time at home (four of nine), and 57.1% of the time on the road (eight of 14).
• When moneyline favorites, the Hawks have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (5-3).

Hawks Recent Stats

Hawks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jalen Johnson gives the Hawks 23.2 points, 10.0 rebounds and 7.3 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals (10th in NBA) and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Onyeka Okongwu gives the Hawks 16.0 points, 7.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 1.0 block.
• The Hawks are receiving 10.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game from Dyson Daniels this season.
• The Hawks are receiving 20.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Nickeil Alexander-Walker this season.
• The Hawks are getting 18.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game from Kristaps Porzingis this year.

Hawks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.